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Indiana primary live: Trump scores big win as Clinton and Sanders in tight race Indiana primary live: Clinton and Sanders deadlocked as Trump wins big
(35 minutes later)
12.39am BST
00:39
For the good of what party?
To reporters, @realDonaldTrump campaign mgr @CLewandowski_ says @tedcruz and @JohnKasich should drop out for the good of the party
12.38am BST
00:38
With 17.3% reporting, it was an even 50-50 race on the Democratic side.
But now Sanders has pulled ahead by a couple of tenths of a percent.
Follow along here:
Related: Indiana primary results: track the votes, county by county
12.34am BST
00:34
*low whistle*
Trump leading Hamilton County (wealthy Indy burbs) 47%-31% in early returns. Get out the broom, it's a Trump sweep of all 57 delegates.
12.32am BST
00:32
Here’s another sample from conservatives populating the land of #NeverTrump:
To the voters of Indiana. pic.twitter.com/Q4TRCA0VoB
12.30am BST
00:30
Our Principles Pac, the conservative anti-Trump force, holds out hope for a contested convention, in a statement issued to reporters:
“While tonight’s Indiana primary results increased Donald Trump’s delegate count, Trump remains short of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the GOP nomination,” said OPP chair Katie Packer.
A substantial number of delegates remain up for grabs in this highly unpredictable year. In addition, there is more than a month before the California primary – more time for Trump to continue to disqualify himself in the eyes of voters, as he did yet again today spreading absurd tabloid lies about Ted Cruz’s father and the JFK assassination. [...]
We will continue to educate voters about Trump until he, or another candidate, wins the support of a majority of delegates to the Convention.
12.28am BST
00:28
Sanders addresses supporters
Bernie Sanders is addressing supporters in Louisville, Kentucky. The below live video feed should come online shortly. So far it’s straight stump from Sanders.
12.25am BST
00:25
Trump to speak at Trump Tower
Donald Trump is scheduled to discuss tonight’s victory at Trump Tower in Manhattan starting at 9pm ET. Ed Pilkington will be on the ground ...
Updated
at 12.25am BST
12.24am BST
00:24
Donald Trump has beaten Ted Cruz in the Indiana primary, ending the best hope of blocking a presidential nomination the Texas senator has claimed will plunge America into the political “abyss”, write the Guardian’s Ben Jacobs and Dan Roberts:
Despite a day of dire warnings from Trump’s conservative rival, the New York businessman was declared victor by the Associated Press within seconds of polls closing in the Hoosier state.
With the second highest number of delegates left on offer before the Republican party convention, Indiana offered a chance for Cruz to repeat his success in Iowa and Wisconsin by urging midwest voters to reject Trump.
“The country is depending on Indiana,” he warned on Tuesday. “If Indiana does not act, this country could well plunge into the abyss … We are not a proud, boastful, self-centered, mean spirited, hateful, bullying nation.”
But by winning the 30 delegates awarded to Indiana’s statewide winner, Trump now has an easy path to claiming the 1,237 pledged delegates needed to avoid a contested convention in Cleveland and win outright, and is well-positioned even if Cruz pulls off an upset in delegate-rich California next month.
Read our full news coverage here:
Related: Trump beats Cruz in Indiana primary, clearing path to nomination
12.20am BST
00:20
Kasich vows to stay the course
The governor John Kasich campaign has released a statement vowing not to let mere results alter the candidate’s steadfast commitment to somehow winning the nomination with 153 delegates (and counting?).
“Tonight’s results are not going to alter Gov. Kasich’s campaign plans,” the statement begins, continuing:
Our strategy has been and continues to be one that involves winning the nomination at an open convention. The comments from Trump, on the verge of winning in Indiana, heighten the differences between Governor Kasich and his positive, inclusive approach and the disrespectful ramblings from Donald Trump.
The statement includes a colorful reference to “the Mad Hatter Gibberish pushed by Trump during the primary,” which Kasich believes “would weaken America.”
AP has Trump now 1041 pledged delegates. He's less than 200 away from clinching.
Updated
at 12.25am BST
12.15am BST
00:15
So much for a contested convention:
Very hard to see how Trump *doesn't* get to 1,237 now. He'd need to lose big in Cali, where he's up by 20+ points. https://t.co/7DxYoA4bRK
12.14am BST
00:14
Trump continues to use the moment of his victory to punch Cruz, making sure he finishes the job with his opponent on the canvas:
Lyin' Ted Cruz consistently said that he will, and must, win Indiana. If he doesn't he should drop out of the race-stop wasting time & money
12.13am BST
00:13
Big delegate haul for Trump
Trump is picking off district after district, snapping up at least 45 delegates in Indiana and angling for all 57:
The Latest on #Election2016: Trump snaps up at least 45 delegates from #IndianaPrimary. https://t.co/jq62doCEqv pic.twitter.com/NVXrkcS95y
12.13am BST
00:13
Christopher R Barron
Indiana just confirmed everyone’s worst fears, says Guardian US contributor Christopher R Barron.
Indiana is Waterloo for Ted Cruz and the #NeverTrump Forces.
For weeks, the campaign of Senator Ted Cruz and Trump’s opponents circled today on the calendar. Indiana was where they were making their last stand. Like Wisconsin - where Cruz won - Indiana was meant to be friendlier territory for Cruz, somewhere he could focus his time and efforts.
After a huge loss in New York to Donald Trump and devastating losses in the so-called Acela primaries across the mid-Atlantic, it was hoped that Indiana would be the state where Donald Trump was stopped.
That’s not how it worked out. Instead of stopping Trump, the Indiana primary became an electoral graveyard.
The anti-Trump movement poured millions into the state, Cruz fully brought to bear his vaunted ground game, he convinced rival John Kasich to not campaign in the state, he picked Carly Fiorina as his “running mate,” and was even endorsed by Governor Mike Pence.
At the end of the day, none of it mattered. Trump won and he won big. Trump’s big win in Indiana now makes Trump the presumptive Republican nominee.
Updated
at 12.14am BST
12.12am BST
00:12
Guardian politics reporter Ben Jacobs is fanboating over the exit results and pulling in the good bits. He notes that Hoosier men went big for Trump while the race was tight among women...
Big gender divide in Indiana today pic.twitter.com/zwE4Hj91Yf
...Trump struggled with educated voters...
Once again education was a huge divide as Trump struggles with college graduates pic.twitter.com/FpMCSqgWHM
... but Trump performed better than usual among relatively affluent voters and not as well among low-income voters (he nevertheless won both groups):
Trump did better with voters who made over 100k in Indiana than under. A reverse of the usual pattern pic.twitter.com/TgFQMXAsjW
12.07am BST
00:07
In his moment of victory – like literally at the minute of his definitive victory in the presidential nominating competition – Trump tweets not celebration but slams Cruz:
Wow, Lyin' Ted Cruz really went wacko today. Made all sorts of crazy charges. Can't function under pressure - not very presidential. Sad!
12.02am BST12.02am BST
00:0200:02
And everyone calls Indiana for Donald Trump immediately. It's all over now for Ted Cruz.And everyone calls Indiana for Donald Trump immediately. It's all over now for Ted Cruz.
Live look at the Cruz campaign... This race (that is the primary) is almost certainly over. pic.twitter.com/zndUyoPM48Live look at the Cruz campaign... This race (that is the primary) is almost certainly over. pic.twitter.com/zndUyoPM48
UpdatedUpdated
at 12.02am BSTat 12.02am BST
12.00am BST12.00am BST
00:0000:00
Trump projected Indiana winnerTrump projected Indiana winner
An immediate call in Indiana for Trump on the Republican side – and it appears there may be a possibility of a Trump delegate sweep.An immediate call in Indiana for Trump on the Republican side – and it appears there may be a possibility of a Trump delegate sweep.
Donald Trump is the likely 2016 Republican presidential nominee. That’s not a technical term. It’s still possible it won’t happen. But.Donald Trump is the likely 2016 Republican presidential nominee. That’s not a technical term. It’s still possible it won’t happen. But.
Ted Cruz is winning in 1 county in the state of Indiana.Ted Cruz is winning in 1 county in the state of Indiana.
UpdatedUpdated
at 12.03am BSTat 12.03am BST
12.00am BST12.00am BST
00:0000:00
Lucia GravesLucia Graves
Guardian US columnist Lucia Graves wonders whether tonight holds any surprises for Bernie Sanders, who is sticking in the race with a fighting spirit.Guardian US columnist Lucia Graves wonders whether tonight holds any surprises for Bernie Sanders, who is sticking in the race with a fighting spirit.
Hillary Clinton may have moved on to campaign in the general election, but Bernie Sanders isn’t giving up – and he’s hoping Indiana will tell the world tonight that his voters aren’t either.Hillary Clinton may have moved on to campaign in the general election, but Bernie Sanders isn’t giving up – and he’s hoping Indiana will tell the world tonight that his voters aren’t either.
While Sanders is overwhelmingly predicted to lose, the work and money he’s spending in Indiana suggest his team thinks he can perform better than expected.While Sanders is overwhelmingly predicted to lose, the work and money he’s spending in Indiana suggest his team thinks he can perform better than expected.
The Vermont senator has a number of factors working in his favor tonight, including, crucially, that it’s an open primary, meaning Independents are allowed to vote. The Sanders campaign spent generously in the days and weeks leading up to tonight’s primary and they did it at a time when team Clinton had essentially moved on.The Vermont senator has a number of factors working in his favor tonight, including, crucially, that it’s an open primary, meaning Independents are allowed to vote. The Sanders campaign spent generously in the days and weeks leading up to tonight’s primary and they did it at a time when team Clinton had essentially moved on.
Clinton tellingly spent zero money on advertising in Indiana while Sanders spent $1.5m, and she’s spent minimal time campaigning there. Clinton further signaled her confidence by spending the day leading up to the election in Ohio – a state that has already voted in the primary and is useful to her only in so far as it pertains to the general.Clinton tellingly spent zero money on advertising in Indiana while Sanders spent $1.5m, and she’s spent minimal time campaigning there. Clinton further signaled her confidence by spending the day leading up to the election in Ohio – a state that has already voted in the primary and is useful to her only in so far as it pertains to the general.
With just under 5% of votes reporting, tonight’s Democratic race is shaping up to be a tight one. And while Clinton has the edge on Sanders thus far, early voting characteristically favors Clinton, whose campaign is better organized.With just under 5% of votes reporting, tonight’s Democratic race is shaping up to be a tight one. And while Clinton has the edge on Sanders thus far, early voting characteristically favors Clinton, whose campaign is better organized.
The math of the primary election may clear, but Sanders’ constituency isn’t done talking yet.The math of the primary election may clear, but Sanders’ constituency isn’t done talking yet.
UpdatedUpdated
at 12.00am BSTat 12.00am BST
11.55pm BST
23:55
Indiana projections expected soon
With the closure of the final polling stations in Indiana in about five minutes, we are expected quickly to have at least one projected winner.
11.52pm BST
23:52
Ben Jacobs is in the room with team Cruz, where the senator’s supporters are chanting at the TV:
CNN showed a Trump superPAC ad. The crowd at the Cruz event started chanting #NeverTrump
Teleprompters set up for Cruz's speech in Indy. We won't be hearing a stump tonight. Perhaps 100 or so supporters here.
Updated
at 11.55pm BST
11.46pm BST
23:46
Don’t make the mistake of neglecting our results page – we’re at 2.5% reporting now on both sides, from mostly rural precincts, and Clinton and Trump appear to be performing well:
Related: Indiana primary results: track the votes, county by county
Hillary is ahead by 15% AND her best expected counties (Hamilton, Lake and Marion) haven't even reported results yet. Dem blowout?
Updated
at 11.47pm BST
11.41pm BST
23:41
What will we learn when the last of the Indiana polls close in just 20 minutes?
Those who have dinner plans: keep em.
We haven’t even had time to order pizza yet!
11.40pm BST
23:40
Roger Stone, the former Donald Trump adviser, current Trump ally and longtime Republican bruiser, tweets that CNN’s Jake Tapper, in the spot we linked to earlier, is wrong about Ted Cruz’s father and, by the way, Lee Harvey Oswald did not kill Kennedy:
@TheLeadCNN Actually, there is quite a bit. @jaketapper has no idea what he is talking about, but then he thinks Oswald killed JFK
The next chief of staff, ladies & gentlemen. https://t.co/LY3oXMtIDs
11.35pm BST
23:35
Ted Cruz for president, down to 2% in betting pools.
Not down by 2%. Down to 2%.
Ted Cruz down to 2% in the betting odds. pic.twitter.com/AVLsbDH0Na
11.29pm BST
23:29
Here are a few good #ffs for snap results analysis:
Cruz is losing absentees even outside Fort Wayne. This is looking bad for him. pic.twitter.com/7sFPESSAOJ
Trump delegate sweep-watch: Trump is carrying Delaware County (#IN05) 54%-29% over Cruz. Cruz actually looking better in #IN03.
One bit of good news for Cruz: Kasich has just 11 percent of the vote. The bad news for Cruz is that Trump has 54% of early voters.
Getting that dumpster fire gif ready...
11.26pm BST
23:26
Forty precincts have now reported on each side – that’s less than 1% reporting. Needless to say that’s not a large enough proportion to base a projection on. But not bad for Trump, it appears:
8 counties are reporting some results: All have Trump leading. (In 7 of the 8 counties, Trump's lead is between 20% and 37%.)
Visit our comprehensive mapped results page here:
Related: Indiana primary results: track the votes, county by county
11.18pm BST
23:18
Why would the Associated Press be circulating a video explaining how they might call a race in Indiana immediately as polls close? Hmmm ...
VIDEO: How could AP call winners in the Indiana primary as soon as polls close? @stephenatap explains pic.twitter.com/nJKzEQOCuD
Updated
at 11.24pm BST
11.11pm BST
23:11
One precinct has let fly its results early. And Clinton holds a 228-vote lead in Indiana. Count it.
One precinct is already in in Indiana pic.twitter.com/5NYaBPgcPO
Here’s Nate Cohn with a good reminder of why exit polls can be misleading: they don’t encompass early votes – hundreds of thousands of them, in Indiana’s case tonight:
Clinton out to an early lead in the initial results out of Indiana. Remember: the exit polls probably didn't include early votes.
Updated
at 11.12pm BST