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Indiana primary live: Clinton and Sanders deadlocked as Trump wins big Trump nears a Cruz knockout as Clinton battles Sanders – Indiana primary live
(35 minutes later)
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We’re already heard from a top architect of the 2008 John McCain campaign, Steve Schmidt, who says it’s “100%” that Trump will be the nominee.
Now here’s a top architect of the 2012 Mitt Romney campaign:
pic.twitter.com/fAb6nAWeTB
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Trump’s next move: West Virginia. The Mountain State votes, along with Nebraska, in one week. Thirty-four Republican delegates awarded on a proportional basis will be at stake. Trump is polling very well there.
Trump going to Charleston WV on Thursday
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Hoosier daddy. Not bad, Post:
.@nypost Wednesday cover: "Hoosier Daddy!" pic.twitter.com/Q44n72DZiJ
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Steve Schmidt was a George W Bush adviser and lead strategist on the 2008 John McCain presidential campaign.
He said very early on, when most people were writing Trump off, that Trump could win the Republican nomination.
Now he says he was right:
Steve Schmidt on MSNBC: "It's over. 100%. Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee."
Here’s the view, meanwhile, from the Democratic political professional side:
I know I am not the first to say this. I cannot believe the GOP has chosen Donald Trump as their nominee for President of the United States.
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Lucia Graves
One unavoidable take-away tonight is that voters really, really don’t like Ted Cruz, notes Lucia Graves
Trump has said of Cruz, “everybody hates Ted” when they get to know him. Like many of Trump’s attacks, it’s nasty but there’s truth to it. John Boehner lent further credence to the notion last week when he referred to the senator from Texas as “Lucifer in the flesh” last week.
Now it appears Indiana voters feel the same way as lawmakers: having gotten to know him, they don’t like him too much.
No sooner had the polls closed than it became apparent Trump was going to win again and by a landslide. This after Cruz had been polling relatively well in the state until recently. His dip in the polls, tellingly if you ask Trump, coincides with the time when he started campaigning intensively in the state.
And he did try everything, driving home his conservative bonafides, signing a non-aggression pact with John Kasich, and even declaring a vice presidential pick early to attract attention.
He spent enough money to ensure the voters heard him loud and clear – they just, like so many others before them, didn’t like what they heard one bit.
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12.44am BST
00:44
Sanders continues his speech in Louisville. It’s his straight stump speech so far, declaring that “now is the time for Wall Street to help the middle class of this country”:
A great nation is not judged by the number of billionaires and nuclear weapons it has. A great nation is judged by how it treats the most vulnerable and weak among us.
No inflection so far referring to the tight race in Indiana or what it might mean, as whatever happens, Sanders is expected to chug through to the final contest in Washington DC on 14 June. A live video feed of the Sanders speech is in a block from 15 minutes ago.
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For the good of what party?For the good of what party?
To reporters, @realDonaldTrump campaign mgr @CLewandowski_ says @tedcruz and @JohnKasich should drop out for the good of the partyTo reporters, @realDonaldTrump campaign mgr @CLewandowski_ says @tedcruz and @JohnKasich should drop out for the good of the party
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With 17.3% reporting, it was an even 50-50 race on the Democratic side.With 17.3% reporting, it was an even 50-50 race on the Democratic side.
But now Sanders has pulled ahead by a couple of tenths of a percent.But now Sanders has pulled ahead by a couple of tenths of a percent.
Follow along here:Follow along here:
Related: Indiana primary results: track the votes, county by countyRelated: Indiana primary results: track the votes, county by county
12.34am BST12.34am BST
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*low whistle**low whistle*
Trump leading Hamilton County (wealthy Indy burbs) 47%-31% in early returns. Get out the broom, it's a Trump sweep of all 57 delegates.Trump leading Hamilton County (wealthy Indy burbs) 47%-31% in early returns. Get out the broom, it's a Trump sweep of all 57 delegates.
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Here’s another sample from conservatives populating the land of #NeverTrump:Here’s another sample from conservatives populating the land of #NeverTrump:
To the voters of Indiana. pic.twitter.com/Q4TRCA0VoBTo the voters of Indiana. pic.twitter.com/Q4TRCA0VoB
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Our Principles Pac, the conservative anti-Trump force, holds out hope for a contested convention, in a statement issued to reporters:Our Principles Pac, the conservative anti-Trump force, holds out hope for a contested convention, in a statement issued to reporters:
“While tonight’s Indiana primary results increased Donald Trump’s delegate count, Trump remains short of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the GOP nomination,” said OPP chair Katie Packer.“While tonight’s Indiana primary results increased Donald Trump’s delegate count, Trump remains short of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the GOP nomination,” said OPP chair Katie Packer.
A substantial number of delegates remain up for grabs in this highly unpredictable year. In addition, there is more than a month before the California primary – more time for Trump to continue to disqualify himself in the eyes of voters, as he did yet again today spreading absurd tabloid lies about Ted Cruz’s father and the JFK assassination. [...]A substantial number of delegates remain up for grabs in this highly unpredictable year. In addition, there is more than a month before the California primary – more time for Trump to continue to disqualify himself in the eyes of voters, as he did yet again today spreading absurd tabloid lies about Ted Cruz’s father and the JFK assassination. [...]
We will continue to educate voters about Trump until he, or another candidate, wins the support of a majority of delegates to the Convention.We will continue to educate voters about Trump until he, or another candidate, wins the support of a majority of delegates to the Convention.
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Sanders addresses supportersSanders addresses supporters
Bernie Sanders is addressing supporters in Louisville, Kentucky. The below live video feed should come online shortly. So far it’s straight stump from Sanders.Bernie Sanders is addressing supporters in Louisville, Kentucky. The below live video feed should come online shortly. So far it’s straight stump from Sanders.
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Trump to speak at Trump TowerTrump to speak at Trump Tower
Donald Trump is scheduled to discuss tonight’s victory at Trump Tower in Manhattan starting at 9pm ET. Ed Pilkington will be on the ground ...Donald Trump is scheduled to discuss tonight’s victory at Trump Tower in Manhattan starting at 9pm ET. Ed Pilkington will be on the ground ...
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Donald Trump has beaten Ted Cruz in the Indiana primary, ending the best hope of blocking a presidential nomination the Texas senator has claimed will plunge America into the political “abyss”, write the Guardian’s Ben Jacobs and Dan Roberts:Donald Trump has beaten Ted Cruz in the Indiana primary, ending the best hope of blocking a presidential nomination the Texas senator has claimed will plunge America into the political “abyss”, write the Guardian’s Ben Jacobs and Dan Roberts:
Despite a day of dire warnings from Trump’s conservative rival, the New York businessman was declared victor by the Associated Press within seconds of polls closing in the Hoosier state.Despite a day of dire warnings from Trump’s conservative rival, the New York businessman was declared victor by the Associated Press within seconds of polls closing in the Hoosier state.
With the second highest number of delegates left on offer before the Republican party convention, Indiana offered a chance for Cruz to repeat his success in Iowa and Wisconsin by urging midwest voters to reject Trump.With the second highest number of delegates left on offer before the Republican party convention, Indiana offered a chance for Cruz to repeat his success in Iowa and Wisconsin by urging midwest voters to reject Trump.
“The country is depending on Indiana,” he warned on Tuesday. “If Indiana does not act, this country could well plunge into the abyss … We are not a proud, boastful, self-centered, mean spirited, hateful, bullying nation.”“The country is depending on Indiana,” he warned on Tuesday. “If Indiana does not act, this country could well plunge into the abyss … We are not a proud, boastful, self-centered, mean spirited, hateful, bullying nation.”
But by winning the 30 delegates awarded to Indiana’s statewide winner, Trump now has an easy path to claiming the 1,237 pledged delegates needed to avoid a contested convention in Cleveland and win outright, and is well-positioned even if Cruz pulls off an upset in delegate-rich California next month.But by winning the 30 delegates awarded to Indiana’s statewide winner, Trump now has an easy path to claiming the 1,237 pledged delegates needed to avoid a contested convention in Cleveland and win outright, and is well-positioned even if Cruz pulls off an upset in delegate-rich California next month.
Read our full news coverage here:Read our full news coverage here:
Related: Trump beats Cruz in Indiana primary, clearing path to nominationRelated: Trump beats Cruz in Indiana primary, clearing path to nomination
12.20am BST
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Kasich vows to stay the course
The governor John Kasich campaign has released a statement vowing not to let mere results alter the candidate’s steadfast commitment to somehow winning the nomination with 153 delegates (and counting?).
“Tonight’s results are not going to alter Gov. Kasich’s campaign plans,” the statement begins, continuing:
Our strategy has been and continues to be one that involves winning the nomination at an open convention. The comments from Trump, on the verge of winning in Indiana, heighten the differences between Governor Kasich and his positive, inclusive approach and the disrespectful ramblings from Donald Trump.
The statement includes a colorful reference to “the Mad Hatter Gibberish pushed by Trump during the primary,” which Kasich believes “would weaken America.”
AP has Trump now 1041 pledged delegates. He's less than 200 away from clinching.
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So much for a contested convention:
Very hard to see how Trump *doesn't* get to 1,237 now. He'd need to lose big in Cali, where he's up by 20+ points. https://t.co/7DxYoA4bRK
12.14am BST
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Trump continues to use the moment of his victory to punch Cruz, making sure he finishes the job with his opponent on the canvas:
Lyin' Ted Cruz consistently said that he will, and must, win Indiana. If he doesn't he should drop out of the race-stop wasting time & money
12.13am BST
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Big delegate haul for Trump
Trump is picking off district after district, snapping up at least 45 delegates in Indiana and angling for all 57:
The Latest on #Election2016: Trump snaps up at least 45 delegates from #IndianaPrimary. https://t.co/jq62doCEqv pic.twitter.com/NVXrkcS95y
12.13am BST
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Christopher R Barron
Indiana just confirmed everyone’s worst fears, says Guardian US contributor Christopher R Barron.
Indiana is Waterloo for Ted Cruz and the #NeverTrump Forces.
For weeks, the campaign of Senator Ted Cruz and Trump’s opponents circled today on the calendar. Indiana was where they were making their last stand. Like Wisconsin - where Cruz won - Indiana was meant to be friendlier territory for Cruz, somewhere he could focus his time and efforts.
After a huge loss in New York to Donald Trump and devastating losses in the so-called Acela primaries across the mid-Atlantic, it was hoped that Indiana would be the state where Donald Trump was stopped.
That’s not how it worked out. Instead of stopping Trump, the Indiana primary became an electoral graveyard.
The anti-Trump movement poured millions into the state, Cruz fully brought to bear his vaunted ground game, he convinced rival John Kasich to not campaign in the state, he picked Carly Fiorina as his “running mate,” and was even endorsed by Governor Mike Pence.
At the end of the day, none of it mattered. Trump won and he won big. Trump’s big win in Indiana now makes Trump the presumptive Republican nominee.
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Guardian politics reporter Ben Jacobs is fanboating over the exit results and pulling in the good bits. He notes that Hoosier men went big for Trump while the race was tight among women...
Big gender divide in Indiana today pic.twitter.com/zwE4Hj91Yf
...Trump struggled with educated voters...
Once again education was a huge divide as Trump struggles with college graduates pic.twitter.com/FpMCSqgWHM
... but Trump performed better than usual among relatively affluent voters and not as well among low-income voters (he nevertheless won both groups):
Trump did better with voters who made over 100k in Indiana than under. A reverse of the usual pattern pic.twitter.com/TgFQMXAsjW
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In his moment of victory – like literally at the minute of his definitive victory in the presidential nominating competition – Trump tweets not celebration but slams Cruz:
Wow, Lyin' Ted Cruz really went wacko today. Made all sorts of crazy charges. Can't function under pressure - not very presidential. Sad!
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And everyone calls Indiana for Donald Trump immediately. It's all over now for Ted Cruz.
Live look at the Cruz campaign... This race (that is the primary) is almost certainly over. pic.twitter.com/zndUyoPM48
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Trump projected Indiana winner
An immediate call in Indiana for Trump on the Republican side – and it appears there may be a possibility of a Trump delegate sweep.
Donald Trump is the likely 2016 Republican presidential nominee. That’s not a technical term. It’s still possible it won’t happen. But.
Ted Cruz is winning in 1 county in the state of Indiana.
Updated
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Lucia Graves
Guardian US columnist Lucia Graves wonders whether tonight holds any surprises for Bernie Sanders, who is sticking in the race with a fighting spirit.
Hillary Clinton may have moved on to campaign in the general election, but Bernie Sanders isn’t giving up – and he’s hoping Indiana will tell the world tonight that his voters aren’t either.
While Sanders is overwhelmingly predicted to lose, the work and money he’s spending in Indiana suggest his team thinks he can perform better than expected.
The Vermont senator has a number of factors working in his favor tonight, including, crucially, that it’s an open primary, meaning Independents are allowed to vote. The Sanders campaign spent generously in the days and weeks leading up to tonight’s primary and they did it at a time when team Clinton had essentially moved on.
Clinton tellingly spent zero money on advertising in Indiana while Sanders spent $1.5m, and she’s spent minimal time campaigning there. Clinton further signaled her confidence by spending the day leading up to the election in Ohio – a state that has already voted in the primary and is useful to her only in so far as it pertains to the general.
With just under 5% of votes reporting, tonight’s Democratic race is shaping up to be a tight one. And while Clinton has the edge on Sanders thus far, early voting characteristically favors Clinton, whose campaign is better organized.
The math of the primary election may clear, but Sanders’ constituency isn’t done talking yet.
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