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Unemployment falls to 5.6% as participation rate slumps – politics live | |
(35 minutes later) | |
2.52am BST | |
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Rock star reception for Katter, Xenophon & cattle owner Stirling Buntine in Canberra #Kidman pic.twitter.com/A72RqkgiCP | |
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Lunchtime politics | |
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Unemployment = 5.6% | |
Gareth Hutchens | |
The Bureau of Statistics has just released its employment data for September. | |
It shows the trend unemployment rate decreased slightly, from 5.7% to 5.6%, between August and September. | |
That looks like good news, on the face of it. | |
When Reserve Bank governor Phil Lowe gave a speech in Sydney this week, he said the unemployment rate seemed like it was about 0.5 percentage points, or a bit more, above full employment. | |
But there are huge changes occurring in the labour market which are concealed by that unemployment figure. | |
Have a look at these numbers. | |
Since December 2015, full-time employment has fallen by 54,100 persons. | |
In comparison, part-time employment has increased by 130,000 persons. | |
It means part-time’s share of total employment has increased from 31.1% to 32% in the last nine months. | |
We can see that switch occurring between August and September, where 7,900 full-time jobs were lost and 11,800 part-time jobs were gained. | |
It coincides with a rise in the underemployment ratio (a proportion of employed persons) since November 2015, from 8.9% to 9.2%. | |
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Fans of the Betoota Advocate, satirical news site, will appreciate this - a Betoota book! | |
Media training required. | |
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#Estimates can be tough. Brandis takes a moment amid questions. via @deaf_soundo pic.twitter.com/7mCTfkJ93d | |
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02:19 | 02:19 |
Dfat contradicts foreign minister Julie Bishop on Wyatt Roy Iraq sortie | Dfat contradicts foreign minister Julie Bishop on Wyatt Roy Iraq sortie |
Penny Wong is re-prosecuting the Wyatt Roy case. She goes over it for the slow ones. (Like me) | Penny Wong is re-prosecuting the Wyatt Roy case. She goes over it for the slow ones. (Like me) |
On September 15, Israel ambassador is told of Wyatt’s plans. | |
On September 20, Dfat was contacted. | On September 20, Dfat was contacted. |
The story broke on September 29. | The story broke on September 29. |
Here is what foreign minister Julie Bishop said when the story broke: | Here is what foreign minister Julie Bishop said when the story broke: |
It is irresponsible of Wyatt Roy to travel to the front line of the conflict between ISIL and Kurdish forces in northern Iraq, in a region regarded as very high risk. | It is irresponsible of Wyatt Roy to travel to the front line of the conflict between ISIL and Kurdish forces in northern Iraq, in a region regarded as very high risk. |
He has placed himself at risk of physical harm and capture, and acted in defiance of government advice. Mr Roy did not seek nor did he receive assistance from the Australian government for his travel to Iraq. | He has placed himself at risk of physical harm and capture, and acted in defiance of government advice. Mr Roy did not seek nor did he receive assistance from the Australian government for his travel to Iraq. |
Updated | |
at 2.25am BST | |
2.05am BST | 2.05am BST |
02:05 | 02:05 |
Wyatt Roy to Iraq mission: Any meetings around here mate? | Wyatt Roy to Iraq mission: Any meetings around here mate? |
In estimates, we discover two Dfat heads of mission outside Australia knew of Wyatt Roy’s trip to Iraq. Roy is a former MP and Turnbull ally. | In estimates, we discover two Dfat heads of mission outside Australia knew of Wyatt Roy’s trip to Iraq. Roy is a former MP and Turnbull ally. |
Why did they not tell Dfat Canberra before it hit the media, asks Wong. | Why did they not tell Dfat Canberra before it hit the media, asks Wong. |
Dfat underlines Roy was told it was dangerous and he should not travel. | Dfat underlines Roy was told it was dangerous and he should not travel. |
The government’s official travel advice also says DO NOT TRAVEL TO IRAQ. | The government’s official travel advice also says DO NOT TRAVEL TO IRAQ. |
It would appear on 20 September “one of Mr Roy’s associates in Iraq” contacted the deputy head of mission in Iraq, Jonathan Gilbert, and told him Roy was in Erbil, the capital of the Kurdish regional government area of Iraq. | It would appear on 20 September “one of Mr Roy’s associates in Iraq” contacted the deputy head of mission in Iraq, Jonathan Gilbert, and told him Roy was in Erbil, the capital of the Kurdish regional government area of Iraq. |
[Roy’s associate] asked if there were any meetings the embassy would suggest. The embassy didn’t suggest any meetings or offer any support for Mr Roy’s program. In that conversation there was no suggestion that Mr Roy would travel outside Erbil. | [Roy’s associate] asked if there were any meetings the embassy would suggest. The embassy didn’t suggest any meetings or offer any support for Mr Roy’s program. In that conversation there was no suggestion that Mr Roy would travel outside Erbil. |
How far is Erbil from the Mosul declared area? | How far is Erbil from the Mosul declared area? |
As the crow flies, it could be about a 100 miles. | As the crow flies, it could be about a 100 miles. |
Was it in a do-not-travel zone? | Was it in a do-not-travel zone? |
All of Iraq is in a do-not-travel zone. | All of Iraq is in a do-not-travel zone. |
#youknowitmakessense | #youknowitmakessense |
Updated | Updated |
at 2.09am BST | at 2.09am BST |
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01:39 | 01:39 |
We are hearing there might be a vote on the plebiscite bill before question time. | We are hearing there might be a vote on the plebiscite bill before question time. |
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01:33 | 01:33 |
Tony Abbott’s overseas travel this year has been listed in estimates. | Tony Abbott’s overseas travel this year has been listed in estimates. |
Trips included: | Trips included: |
Brandis comes in prepared to talk about former prime ministers travel. Just checking whether this was also in one year. | Brandis comes in prepared to talk about former prime ministers travel. Just checking whether this was also in one year. |
Updated | Updated |
at 2.24am BST | at 2.24am BST |
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01:26 | 01:26 |
The NSW deputy premier Troy Grant has changed his position slightly on the Adler. | The NSW deputy premier Troy Grant has changed his position slightly on the Adler. |
Previously he supported categorising the Adler seven plus one shot into B category. This was backed by a number of National party members including Mark Coulton. A is the most accessible category with D the most restricted category. | Previously he supported categorising the Adler seven plus one shot into B category. This was backed by a number of National party members including Mark Coulton. A is the most accessible category with D the most restricted category. |
Grant says now he supports putting the Adler into a “tighter one”. | Grant says now he supports putting the Adler into a “tighter one”. |
He also supports the ban on importing lever action shotguns with a capacity of more than five rounds until the gun is reclassified. | He also supports the ban on importing lever action shotguns with a capacity of more than five rounds until the gun is reclassified. |
Our position represents a strengthening of the current A classification of the Adler, but the ultimate decision is a matter for national consensus, Grant says. | Our position represents a strengthening of the current A classification of the Adler, but the ultimate decision is a matter for national consensus, Grant says. |
This is purely speculation only but it sounds like there might be some behind the scenes movements to put the Adler into a higher even more restrictive category. | |
Updated | |
at 2.41am BST | |
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Paul Karp | Paul Karp |
Labor senators including Murray Watt are using Senate Estimates to undermine social services minister Christian Porter’s case for another round of welfare cuts. | Labor senators including Murray Watt are using Senate Estimates to undermine social services minister Christian Porter’s case for another round of welfare cuts. |
Watt has made the point that quoting the absolute number of people on the dole is misleading, as it doesn’t account for population growth. | Watt has made the point that quoting the absolute number of people on the dole is misleading, as it doesn’t account for population growth. |
Social Services Department deputy secretary Serena Wilson gives him a win on this point, revealing that since 1996 there has been a decrease in those aged 16-64 receiving income support, from 24.7% to 16.6%. | Social Services Department deputy secretary Serena Wilson gives him a win on this point, revealing that since 1996 there has been a decrease in those aged 16-64 receiving income support, from 24.7% to 16.6%. |
Labor senators are now trying to push the point home by getting department officials to say the welfare budget is sustainable, but no dice so far.Earlier, Watt probed figures provided to Guardian Australia by the government, including the fact that 75% of Newstart recipients receive the energy supplement and two other payments. | Labor senators are now trying to push the point home by getting department officials to say the welfare budget is sustainable, but no dice so far.Earlier, Watt probed figures provided to Guardian Australia by the government, including the fact that 75% of Newstart recipients receive the energy supplement and two other payments. |
Wilson conceded that “most of the supplements relate to particular cost or activity” (and not just getting by day to day on income support). | Wilson conceded that “most of the supplements relate to particular cost or activity” (and not just getting by day to day on income support). |
She said some, including the energy supplement and pharmaceutical allowance, can be very small but added the Family Tax Benefit payments “can be considerable”. | She said some, including the energy supplement and pharmaceutical allowance, can be very small but added the Family Tax Benefit payments “can be considerable”. |
Updated | Updated |
at 1.13am BST | at 1.13am BST |
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01:09 | 01:09 |
The plebiscite bill is now being debated in the house again. | The plebiscite bill is now being debated in the house again. |
Just regarding Paul Karp’s earlier post, Barnaby Joyce obviously opened the possibility of anyone in the Nats in favour of marriage equality crossing the floor. | Just regarding Paul Karp’s earlier post, Barnaby Joyce obviously opened the possibility of anyone in the Nats in favour of marriage equality crossing the floor. |
As he says, the National party MPs do have the right to cross the floor. That is why Barnaby has crossed the floor 28 times in the early part of the career. | As he says, the National party MPs do have the right to cross the floor. That is why Barnaby has crossed the floor 28 times in the early part of the career. |
It was obviously not a career limiting move in Barnaby’s case but it would be a big call for Darren Chester or any other supporters of marriage equality to cross the floor on a crossbench marriage bill. | It was obviously not a career limiting move in Barnaby’s case but it would be a big call for Darren Chester or any other supporters of marriage equality to cross the floor on a crossbench marriage bill. |