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Trump and Clinton stump in Florida amid swing state early voting push – live Trump and Clinton stump in Florida amid swing state early voting push – live
(35 minutes later)
7.16pm BST
19:16
We’re getting ready to hear from Hillary Clinton in Coconut Creek, Florida, in Broward county north of Miami. We’ll have a live stream when the time comes.
The mention of Marco Rubio's name draws loud boos at Clinton's rally in Coconut Creek over his opposition to climate change.
Or to a “rationale climate change policy.”
I meant climate change denial. It's been a long day. https://t.co/x5DXURgysJ
Updated
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Trump endorsed by Bay of Pigs veterans
While polling has found that Miami’s community of exiled Cubans appears to be breaking away from its reliable pattern of voting overwhelmingly Republican this year, Donald Trump has secured the endorsement of the veterans association of the Bay of Pigs:
Trump in Miami thanks the Veterans Association of the Bay of Pigs, which had never endorsed any candidate in its history til now. pic.twitter.com/xQsR6ECvAF
This is from the pool report:
Trump thanked the Bay of Pigs veterans, saying they had been “fighting for a free Cuba, fighting for the values of freedom liberty that unite us all. The same values that are at stake in our election, where I’m hearing we’re doing very very well in Florida.”
Trump at one point displayed a baseball cap with the number 2506 on it, and said “2506, that’s a special number huh?” [Brigade 2506 was the CIA-backed Cuban exile group that attempted to overthrow the Castro regime in 1961.]
“I’m in a room full of heroes,” Trump said.
As far as Cuba policy goes, Trump did not get into specifics.
“Organizations of the Cuban resistance have struggled for decades to depose the Castro regime — but it’s at hand, it’s at hand — to free the Cuban people, and to restore truth and justice to the daily life of its citizens,” he said.
“What you are asking for is right, what you are asking for is just,” Trump said, while not specifically saying what they are asking for.
“The US should not prop up the Cuban regime economically and politically as Obama has done and as Hillary Clinton plans to do,” Trump said. “They wouldn’t know how to make a good deal if it was staring them in the face.”
After about eight minutes, Trump wrapped up his remarks. Before doing so he noted the large size of his crowd at last night’s Tampa rally, saying “We had a rally last night in tampa, maybe you saw, we set the record, this massive arena, we set the record.”
Trump did not answer a shouted question about whether he supports lifting the Cuban embargo, as he left.
Updated
at 7.17pm BST
7.06pm BST
19:06
Let’s not get ahead of ourselves, now...
Anyone who knows FL early voting patterns in '08/'12 knows this means that Trump has already lost the state. Done. https://t.co/vxcnAKkIbE
Early voting results in FLORIDA so far• DEM: 658,177- 525,076 by mail- 133,041 in-person• GOP: 665,092- 556,058 mail- 109,034 person
The rule of thumb for early voting in Florida is that Republicans establish a large early-early voting lead and Democrats don’t catch up until a week from now. Except this time there’s no early-early Republican lead.
@TWTWsports @FrankLuntz GOP led by far, far, FAR more in FL early vote in '08 and '12. Got crushed in former, still lost latter. It's over.
You can read more about Decision Desk HQ here. In short they know what they’re talking about and ideologically speaking they’re more right than left. And what Jeff Blehar is saying here does not go against what other close Florida watchers are seeing.
But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Because if she’s won Florida, she’s won it all.*
*unless SMOD2016.
6.44pm BST6.44pm BST
18:4418:44
“I think she’s going to go down at a minimum as a great senator. I think she is a great wife to a president, and I think Bill Clinton was a great president... we had no war, the economy was doing great, everybody was happy... Bill Clinton was a great president... Hillary Clinton is a great woman and a good woman... a wonderful woman... a little bit misunderstood... a very smart woman, a tough woman...”“I think she’s going to go down at a minimum as a great senator. I think she is a great wife to a president, and I think Bill Clinton was a great president... we had no war, the economy was doing great, everybody was happy... Bill Clinton was a great president... Hillary Clinton is a great woman and a good woman... a wonderful woman... a little bit misunderstood... a very smart woman, a tough woman...”
It goes on and on.It goes on and on.
Donald Trump basically cutting a campaign ad after the 2008 election for his lifelong friends, the Clintons. Wow. pic.twitter.com/9Q71NaTFORDonald Trump basically cutting a campaign ad after the 2008 election for his lifelong friends, the Clintons. Wow. pic.twitter.com/9Q71NaTFOR
6.32pm BST6.32pm BST
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Trump: 'I have no interest in Trump TV'Trump: 'I have no interest in Trump TV'
“No, I have no interest in Trump TV,” Trump told Cincinnati’s 700WLW radio Tuesday morning, in remarks flagged by Politico. “I hear it all over the place. I have a tremendous fan base, we have a tremendous base. We have the most incredible people, but I just don’t have any interest in that.”“No, I have no interest in Trump TV,” Trump told Cincinnati’s 700WLW radio Tuesday morning, in remarks flagged by Politico. “I hear it all over the place. I have a tremendous fan base, we have a tremendous base. We have the most incredible people, but I just don’t have any interest in that.”
Related:Related:
6.21pm BST6.21pm BST
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In a 2009 would-be consolation note to actors John Travolta and Kelly Preston after their son Jett passed away at the age of 16 after suffering a seizure while on a family vacation, Donald Trump “expressed his condolences to Preston, but not before he mentioned the time he tried to sleep with her,” Mother Jones reports:In a 2009 would-be consolation note to actors John Travolta and Kelly Preston after their son Jett passed away at the age of 16 after suffering a seizure while on a family vacation, Donald Trump “expressed his condolences to Preston, but not before he mentioned the time he tried to sleep with her,” Mother Jones reports:
Trump wrote a blog post dedicated to Preston on the website of the now-defunct Trump University, which has been sued by the state of New York and former students over claims of fraud. [...]Trump wrote a blog post dedicated to Preston on the website of the now-defunct Trump University, which has been sued by the state of New York and former students over claims of fraud. [...]
“A long time ago, before I was married, I met Kelly Preston at a club and worked like hell to try and pick her up,” he wrote on the Trump University website. “She was beautiful, personable, and definitely had allure. At the time I had no idea she was married to John Travolta.”“A long time ago, before I was married, I met Kelly Preston at a club and worked like hell to try and pick her up,” he wrote on the Trump University website. “She was beautiful, personable, and definitely had allure. At the time I had no idea she was married to John Travolta.”
He continued, “In any event, my track record on this subject has always been outstanding, but Kelly wouldn’t give me the time of day. She was very nice, very elegant, but I didn’t have a chance with her, and that was that.”He continued, “In any event, my track record on this subject has always been outstanding, but Kelly wouldn’t give me the time of day. She was very nice, very elegant, but I didn’t have a chance with her, and that was that.”
Read the full piece here.Read the full piece here.
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Arizona race neck-and-neck – pollArizona race neck-and-neck – poll
New Monmouth poll of ArizonaTrump: 46%Clinton: 45%New Monmouth poll of ArizonaTrump: 46%Clinton: 45%
Not counting Bill Clinton’s reelection, the state has not gone Democratic in a presidential race since Truman. The Monmouth poll finds incumbent Republican senator John McCain with a comfortable double-digit lead in his reelection bid:Not counting Bill Clinton’s reelection, the state has not gone Democratic in a presidential race since Truman. The Monmouth poll finds incumbent Republican senator John McCain with a comfortable double-digit lead in his reelection bid:
five-term incumbent John McCain holds a 10 point lead over Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick. The race stands at 50% for McCain and 40% for Kirkpatrick, with 4% supporting the Green Party’s Gary Swing.five-term incumbent John McCain holds a 10 point lead over Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick. The race stands at 50% for McCain and 40% for Kirkpatrick, with 4% supporting the Green Party’s Gary Swing.
4 in 10 voters in Arizona say they already voted per Monmouth. Among them:Clinton: 52%Trump: 42%4 in 10 voters in Arizona say they already voted per Monmouth. Among them:Clinton: 52%Trump: 42%
UpdatedUpdated
at 6.07pm BSTat 6.07pm BST
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Luke HardingLuke Harding
Pussy Riot have released a new song celebrating the vagina, in an unashamed feminist riposte to Donald Trump and his boast that when he meets beautiful women he “grabs them by the pussy”.Pussy Riot have released a new song celebrating the vagina, in an unashamed feminist riposte to Donald Trump and his boast that when he meets beautiful women he “grabs them by the pussy”.
The Russian punk band’s latest video Straight Outta Vagina, released on Tuesday, features Pussy Riot’s Nadya Tolokonnikova wearing white clerical robes and trademark balaclava, plus a chorus line of men and women sitting in toilet cubicles and standing at urinals. There is also an inflatable duck.The Russian punk band’s latest video Straight Outta Vagina, released on Tuesday, features Pussy Riot’s Nadya Tolokonnikova wearing white clerical robes and trademark balaclava, plus a chorus line of men and women sitting in toilet cubicles and standing at urinals. There is also an inflatable duck.
In typically provocative style, the video includes the lyrics: “If your vagina lands in prison, then the whole world’s going to listen.” And: “Don’t play stupid, don’t play dumb, vagina’s where you’re really from.”In typically provocative style, the video includes the lyrics: “If your vagina lands in prison, then the whole world’s going to listen.” And: “Don’t play stupid, don’t play dumb, vagina’s where you’re really from.”
Tolokonnikova said she recorded the song in February with the US musician, guitarist and producer Dave Sitek, whom she described as “one of the biggest feminists I’ve ever met”. The video was shot in Los Angeles.Tolokonnikova said she recorded the song in February with the US musician, guitarist and producer Dave Sitek, whom she described as “one of the biggest feminists I’ve ever met”. The video was shot in Los Angeles.
Tolokonnikova said Sitek was inspired by her phrase: “Does your vagina have a brand?”. “So it made total sense to write a song which celebrates [the] vagina with him,” she said.Tolokonnikova said Sitek was inspired by her phrase: “Does your vagina have a brand?”. “So it made total sense to write a song which celebrates [the] vagina with him,” she said.
“This song could be considered an answer to Trump. But I believe the idea of powerful female sexuality is much bigger than any populist megalomaniac man … Vagina is bigger than Trump.”“This song could be considered an answer to Trump. But I believe the idea of powerful female sexuality is much bigger than any populist megalomaniac man … Vagina is bigger than Trump.”
Read further:Read further:
The video, unfortunately, has for now been set to private:The video, unfortunately, has for now been set to private:
5.34pm BST5.34pm BST
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African American woman denied housing by Trump speaks out in videoAfrican American woman denied housing by Trump speaks out in video
Lauren GambinoLauren Gambino
Hillary Clinton released a gripping new video featuring a woman who says she was denied housing in one of Donald Trump’s apartment complexes because of the color of her skin.Hillary Clinton released a gripping new video featuring a woman who says she was denied housing in one of Donald Trump’s apartment complexes because of the color of her skin.
In the video, vice presidential candidate Tim Kaine tells the story of Mae Brown Wiggins, a retired nurse, who says she was told by the Trump organization that there were no more vacancies in a building where she applied. After she contacted the Human Rights Commission, a caucasian couple was sent to apply and told there were vacancies.In the video, vice presidential candidate Tim Kaine tells the story of Mae Brown Wiggins, a retired nurse, who says she was told by the Trump organization that there were no more vacancies in a building where she applied. After she contacted the Human Rights Commission, a caucasian couple was sent to apply and told there were vacancies.
“I feel very, very angry,” Wiggins said, pausing to wipe tears from her eyes. “So much so that is still evokes anger and hurt – deep, deep hurt.”“I feel very, very angry,” Wiggins said, pausing to wipe tears from her eyes. “So much so that is still evokes anger and hurt – deep, deep hurt.”
Trump’s family real estate business was sued by the Justice Department in 1973 for discriminating against African American applicants seeking to rent an apartment in his buildings in New York City’s outer boroughs of Brooklyn, Queens and in Norfolk, Virginia.Trump’s family real estate business was sued by the Justice Department in 1973 for discriminating against African American applicants seeking to rent an apartment in his buildings in New York City’s outer boroughs of Brooklyn, Queens and in Norfolk, Virginia.
In the video, Elyse Goldweber, an attorney for the Justice Department in the case, said the investigation into the Trump organization revealed that applications by African American tenants were marked with a “C”, for “colored”.In the video, Elyse Goldweber, an attorney for the Justice Department in the case, said the investigation into the Trump organization revealed that applications by African American tenants were marked with a “C”, for “colored”.
In a conference call organized by the Clinton campaign, congresswoman Holmes Norton, the former chair of the NYC Human Rights Commission, said the Justice Department uncovered “systemic discrimination in a number of different buildings” and said she was shocked by the “egregious” nature of the discrimination.In a conference call organized by the Clinton campaign, congresswoman Holmes Norton, the former chair of the NYC Human Rights Commission, said the Justice Department uncovered “systemic discrimination in a number of different buildings” and said she was shocked by the “egregious” nature of the discrimination.
The Trumps’ lawyer, Roy Cohn, who famously worked for Senator Joseph McCarthy, mounted a counter-suit and demanded the government pay them $100m for falsely accusing them of discrimination. Norton said the judge called the countersuit “a waste of time and paper”.The Trumps’ lawyer, Roy Cohn, who famously worked for Senator Joseph McCarthy, mounted a counter-suit and demanded the government pay them $100m for falsely accusing them of discrimination. Norton said the judge called the countersuit “a waste of time and paper”.
The lawsuit was settled, and Donald Trump through lawyers has maintained that there was never an admission to guilt. The government – and Norton – see it differently.The lawsuit was settled, and Donald Trump through lawyers has maintained that there was never an admission to guilt. The government – and Norton – see it differently.
“The proof was so clear that the Justice Department was able to obtain a strong consent decree,” Norton said. “It is functionally the same as being found guilty of discrimination except you don’t have to admit discrimination.”“The proof was so clear that the Justice Department was able to obtain a strong consent decree,” Norton said. “It is functionally the same as being found guilty of discrimination except you don’t have to admit discrimination.”
5.11pm BST5.11pm BST
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Retired general John Allen reprises his role at the Democratic national convention in a new ad for Clinton:Retired general John Allen reprises his role at the Democratic national convention in a new ad for Clinton:
New Clinton TV ad features ret. Gen. John Allen, who says Trump's rhetoric on ISIS "implies a complete ignorance of the reality". pic.twitter.com/H9iy8LDAtZNew Clinton TV ad features ret. Gen. John Allen, who says Trump's rhetoric on ISIS "implies a complete ignorance of the reality". pic.twitter.com/H9iy8LDAtZ
On Monday, Trump claimed to have been endorsed “conceptually” by the military:On Monday, Trump claimed to have been endorsed “conceptually” by the military:
Trump to FL TV: "I’ve been endorsed largely, at least conceptually, by the military” ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!? https://t.co/16YMnoYSNFTrump to FL TV: "I’ve been endorsed largely, at least conceptually, by the military” ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!? https://t.co/16YMnoYSNF
While Clinton has received more endorsements and more high-profile endorsements from retired military officers, polling of rank-and-file members of the military suggest a preference for Trump. A Military Times survey of nearly 2,500 active-duty troops between 12-14 October found that 41% planned to vote for Trump versus 21% for Clinton.While Clinton has received more endorsements and more high-profile endorsements from retired military officers, polling of rank-and-file members of the military suggest a preference for Trump. A Military Times survey of nearly 2,500 active-duty troops between 12-14 October found that 41% planned to vote for Trump versus 21% for Clinton.
5.05pm BST
17:05
Are you working on your map? Here’s Fox News – with Clinton winning the election with 307 electoral votes (including Florida) not even counting toss-up results:
UPDATED @FoxNews 2016 Scorecard - Iowa & Maine's 2nd CD go lean R to toss-up, Indiana moves solid R to lean R pic.twitter.com/9SMpuhws5f
4.46pm BST
16:46
Inside Donald Trump’s One-Stop Parties: Attendees Recall Cocaine and Very Young Models – Michael Gross writes in the Daily Beast:
Both confirmed that Trump, as I’ve reported, used to host parties in suites at the Plaza Hotel when he owned it, where young women and girls were introduced to older, richer men. This is hardly aberrant behavior in the modeling business. Indeed, it is standard operating procedure.
But both men also put Donald Trump in the room with cocaine, very young women and underage girls, and rich, old men there to—pardon my language, but if the Times can say pussy on its front page, I can say this—fuck them.
Read further.
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Become a Guardian member
4.32pm BST
16:32
In the past hour, Trump has tweeted seven times. Six of his tweets were about spiking Obamacare premiums (see earlier). The other tweet is a shrill reaction to news of Clinton’s early voting strength:
Get out and vote! I am your voice and I will fight for you! We will make America great again! https://t.co/XXvLRlhSaz
4.25pm BST
16:25
Barack Obama is still president until the 20 January inauguration of the next president.
But after the election, Obama is outta here... for a week at least:
No matter what happens Nov. 8, @POTUS is leaving the country. White House announces he will travel to Greece, Germany & Peru Nov. 14-21
Greece, Germany and Peru is a pretty far-flung holiday trip.
4.17pm BST
16:17
Trump describes fear of failure in candid pre-race interviews
This is quite a read.
We obtained 5 hours of interviews that reveal Trump's fear of failure and embarrassment. Story and podcast: https://t.co/Kyjt1um3uY
From the piece:
The recordings reveal a man who is fixated on his own celebrity, anxious about losing his status and contemptuous of those who fall from grace. They capture the visceral pleasure he derives from fighting, his willful lack of interest in history, his reluctance to reflect on his life and his belief that most people do not deserve his respect.
In the interviews, Mr. Trump makes clear just how difficult it is for him to imagine — let alone accept — defeat.
“I never had a failure,” Mr. Trump said in one of the interviews, despite his repeated corporate bankruptcies and business setbacks, “because I always turned a failure into a success.”
The interviews were conducted in 2014 by Michael D’Antonio, a Pulitzer Prize-winning reporter who later wrote a biography of Mr. Trump called “The Truth About Trump.” [...]
Over the past few weeks, Mr. D’Antonio gave The New York Times access to the original audio as well as transcripts of his interviews with Mr. Trump, Mr. Trump’s first wife, Ivana, and his three oldest children. The Times is using them as the basis for this article and a two-part episode of its election podcast, “The Run-Up.”
Here’s a pretty amazing anecdote:
“And when Mr. Trump feels he has been made a fool of, his response can be volcanic. Ivana Trump told Mr. D’Antonio about a Colorado ski vacation she took with Mr. Trump soon after they began dating. The future Mrs. Trump had not told her boyfriend that she was an accomplished skier. As she recalls it, Mr. Trump went down the hill first and waited for her at the bottom:
IVANA TRUMP: So he goes and stops, and he says, “Come on, baby. Come on, baby.” I went up. I went two flips up in the air, two flips in front of him. I disappeared. Donald was so angry, he took off his skis, his ski boots, and walked up to the restaurant. ... He could not take it. He could not take it.
Updated
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4.10pm BST
16:10
Hillary Clinton turns 69 tomorrow.
.@HillaryClinton gives a thumbs up when asked about how Stevie Wonder performed last night at her fundraiser/early birthday party. pic.twitter.com/vxKHN3aZn7
4.02pm BST
16:02
Reader challenge: what's your map look like?
This is a two-part challenge, actually. The first part is, go to 270towin.com and fill in the electoral map how you think it will come out. What’s your final electoral vote tally?
The second part is, predict what time the election will be called. You may find this AP record of when each state was called in 2012 useful. The 2012 election was called by AP at 11.38pm ET.
My current electoral map, prediction-wise. I think all swings will swing away from Trump at this point, for obvious reasons. pic.twitter.com/oo7c7VdQou
That map would elect a president before polls close on the west coast -- first time since 1996. https://t.co/nFrJXdVkVG
Here’s a favorite scenario: the tie!
Updated
at 4.03pm BST
3.27pm BST
15:27
Strong early voting numbers for Democrats in Florida
Florida Democrats are keeping pace with Republicans in the first two days of early voting in Florida...
After 1.6m Floridians voted in person and by mail, Dems close to catching GOP in early votes. Just 0.43% margin nowhttps://t.co/v0DD8Weq5r
... which is unusual, writes Caputo, Politico’s man in the Sunshine state:
When it comes to in-person early voting, Democrats tend to outperform Republicans but that doesn’t usually happen until after a full weekend of early voting, particularly after the Sunday “Souls to the Polls” events where African-Americans cast ballots in person after church.
Steve Schale, a longtime political operative for the Democrats who watches Florida elections at a rare level of detail, likes what he sees this morning:
Frankly for the fans of the home team, it is all good news.
Democrats entered the day down after about 2 weeks of vote by mail returns (and about 1.2 million ballots) about 20,000 votes. This 1.7% GOP advantage compares to a GOP advantage of 5% in 2012.
Then early voting happened.
First, not all counties have reported yet (17 yet to report, most are small), but when all said and done, over 300,000 will have voted on day one. Just to put into scale, 1.2 million voted by mail in the first two weeks.
When you add in the mail ballots from yesterday, 22% of all the ballots cast in Florida were cast in person yesterday. That is a remarkable number.
In total, Democrats reduced the Republican advantage of 1.7% going into yesterday to around 0.5% after day one (still counties reporting, so this number will move around).
Read further. Add in the fact, as Caputo points out, that Trump has trailed Clinton in 10 of the 11 public polls conducted in Florida in October, and it’s looking tough for Trump in his second-home state.
3.03pm BST
15:03
Trump golf course manager: 95% of employees get health care
Via Politico:
Doral GM David Fedder says 95% of employees get healthcare, so very few on Obamacare.
Weird event.
Trump employees parading onto stage to say say nice things about him and working for Trump, at Trump National Doral pic.twitter.com/I9dolCmQEc