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US election: Trump and Clinton in tight race on campaign's final day – live US election: Trump and Clinton in tight race on campaign's final day – live
(35 minutes later)
4.11am GMT
04:11
Trump isn’t in Grand Rapids yet, but if you’d like to see Ted Nugent repeating his warm-up act, you can catch that live here:
Updated
at 4.13am GMT
4.06am GMT
04:06
Tom McCarthy
In the final nine days of the presidential campaign, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump made a combined total of 50 stops in 14 states. What do these stops tell us about the race?
Typically, last-minute campaign decisions are based on internal campaign polling not available to the public. Such polling explains why Al Gore campaigned at 2am in Florida on election day in 2000, as confusing as that move was for the opposition at the time.
The late moves of the 2016 campaign may be trickier to decode, in part because of the drunken-ninja style of the Donald Trump campaign, which reportedly ceased conducting its own polling last week or even two weeks ago.
The action in Michigan, visited twice by Clinton and four times by Trump, may be most interesting. The Great Lakes state emerged as an object of interest relatively late in the race, with both campaigns having dispensed with other, more central fights, and with the Trump campaign sensing opportunity with the state’s white blue-collar voters. The Clinton campaign hopes the state’s Democratic voting record since 1988 will be good for 16 electoral votes Tuesday night.
3.56am GMT
03:56
Shares in Asian markets – where it’s Tuesday already – have edged up as the prospect of a Clinton win looks more likely, Reuters reports:
Most Asian stock markets rose on Tuesday ahead of the election, with investors optimistic but cautious over improving prospects for a win by Hillary Clinton.
The Mexican peso, which strengthens as the perceived chances of an election victory by Donald Trump fall, retained its strong gains from Monday.
The dollar, which also advanced on Monday, edged slightly lower.
Boosting Clinton’s chances of winning, and markets globally, was a statement by the FBI on Sunday standing by its July finding that Clinton was not guilty of criminal wrongdoing in her use of a private email server.
That came after the FBI announced on 28 October it was reviewing additional emails relating to the server while Clinton was secretary of state, sending markets around the world tumbling.
Clinton is seen by investors as offering greater certainty and stability, and, until last week’s stumble, had been seen as the likely victor in Tuesday’s presidential vote.
But investors remained wary, noting Britain’s shock vote in June to leave the European Union had defied most polls and bookmakers’ odds.
“As markets head into the U.S. election, a final recalibration of risk is in train,” Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney, wrote in a note.
“Asia-Pacific markets were the first to adjust to the political shift, and may trade more modestly today after roaring back to life yesterday.”
We’ll be keeping an eye on markets in Asia and beyond as the votes are totted up on Tuesday (or Wednesday as it’s known in some parts of the globe).
3.48am GMT
03:48
The Miami Herald op-ed page is keeping it simple tomorrow:
Prediction: @HeraldOpEd gonna get a *few* emails about this one. It's the editorial page tomorrow. (Editorial = separate from newsroom.) pic.twitter.com/E1tLRIt2j0
3.40am GMT
03:40
Trump’s plane – and the press – have now left Manchester, New Hampshire, heading to Grand Rapids, Michigan, for what will be his final rally (barring a November surprise). He’s due there at 11pm ET.
Clinton, meanwhile, is en route to Raleigh, North Carolina, for a “Get Out the Vote” rally at midnight. Lady Gaga’s there to keep the crowds from tiring. In the meantime you can chat to her (well, hear a recorded “I’m with her” message):
On my way to Raleigh, NC. Let's Do This. Text GAGA to 47246 & hear a message from me about Election Day. #Election2016 #GoVote #Vote 🇺🇸✌️️ pic.twitter.com/G8EpvYBaTt
3.25am GMT3.25am GMT
03:2503:25
How many presidents do you see in this picture?How many presidents do you see in this picture?
3.19am GMT3.19am GMT
03:1903:19
This is Claire Phipps picking up the live blog from Scott Bixby, who is recharging for the Big Day.This is Claire Phipps picking up the live blog from Scott Bixby, who is recharging for the Big Day.
Don’t think it’s all over for Big Day Minus One, though: both Trump and Clinton have a further rally to get through. We’ll have it all live here.Don’t think it’s all over for Big Day Minus One, though: both Trump and Clinton have a further rally to get through. We’ll have it all live here.
3.15am GMT3.15am GMT
03:1503:15
Ben JacobsBen Jacobs
Donald Trump may not have had any celebrities appearing his behalf on Monday night – but he told a crowd of more than 10,000 that he was backed by New England Patriots star quarterback Tom Brady and their head coach Bill Belichick.Donald Trump may not have had any celebrities appearing his behalf on Monday night – but he told a crowd of more than 10,000 that he was backed by New England Patriots star quarterback Tom Brady and their head coach Bill Belichick.
Trump has long bragged that Brady, a two-time NFL MVP and four time Super Bowl champion, “is a great friend of mine”. Brady was suspended for four games at the start of the 2016 season for his role in the Deflategate scandal.Trump has long bragged that Brady, a two-time NFL MVP and four time Super Bowl champion, “is a great friend of mine”. Brady was suspended for four games at the start of the 2016 season for his role in the Deflategate scandal.
Speaking in Manchester, New Hampshire, the Republican nominee told the cheering crowd that Brady called him earlier on Monday to say: “Donald, I support you. You’re my friend and I voted for you.”Speaking in Manchester, New Hampshire, the Republican nominee told the cheering crowd that Brady called him earlier on Monday to say: “Donald, I support you. You’re my friend and I voted for you.”
The quarterback was photographed in 2015 with a Make America Great Again hat in his locker. Brady also said in an interview in December 2015: “Donald is a good friend of mine. I have known him for a long time. I support all my friends.”The quarterback was photographed in 2015 with a Make America Great Again hat in his locker. Brady also said in an interview in December 2015: “Donald is a good friend of mine. I have known him for a long time. I support all my friends.”
In a local interview earlier on Monday, though, Brady said he hadn’t voted yet – “I am going to vote today or tomorrow” – and played coy on who he might vote for: “Next week I’ll tell you.”In a local interview earlier on Monday, though, Brady said he hadn’t voted yet – “I am going to vote today or tomorrow” – and played coy on who he might vote for: “Next week I’ll tell you.”
The Republican candidate also boasted of his support from Patriots head coach Bill Belichick. The famously taciturn and obsessive coach has won four Super Bowls with Brady as his quarterback and is considered one of the greatest coaches in NFL history. Belichick’s girlfriend posted a picture on Instagram of Trump and the NFL coach in the spring, describing the Republican nominee as “our good friend”.The Republican candidate also boasted of his support from Patriots head coach Bill Belichick. The famously taciturn and obsessive coach has won four Super Bowls with Brady as his quarterback and is considered one of the greatest coaches in NFL history. Belichick’s girlfriend posted a picture on Instagram of Trump and the NFL coach in the spring, describing the Republican nominee as “our good friend”.
Trump announced after the Brady endorsement that Belichick “wrote me the most beautiful letter”:Trump announced after the Brady endorsement that Belichick “wrote me the most beautiful letter”:
Congratulations on a tremendous campaign. You have dealt with an unbelievable slanted and negative media and come out beautifully. You have proved to be the ultimate competitor and fighter. Your leadership is amazing.Congratulations on a tremendous campaign. You have dealt with an unbelievable slanted and negative media and come out beautifully. You have proved to be the ultimate competitor and fighter. Your leadership is amazing.
The toughness and perseverance you have displayed in the past year is remarkable. Hopefully the results in tomorrow’s election will give you the opportunity to make America great again.The toughness and perseverance you have displayed in the past year is remarkable. Hopefully the results in tomorrow’s election will give you the opportunity to make America great again.
UpdatedUpdated
at 3.27am GMTat 3.27am GMT
2.56am GMT2.56am GMT
02:5602:56
Is it too late to impeach him?Is it too late to impeach him?
Senior Obama official, to me, just now (I am not making this up): "The President loves Fight Song."Senior Obama official, to me, just now (I am not making this up): "The President loves Fight Song."
Just kidding - we have friends in this video so we’ll let it slide. But just this once!Just kidding - we have friends in this video so we’ll let it slide. But just this once!
2.34am GMT2.34am GMT
02:3402:34
Campaigning in Manchester, New Hampshire, at a decidedly less glamorous rally, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump blamed President Barack Obama’s fondness for golf as the source behind congressional obstruction, before launching into a laundry list of political goals.Campaigning in Manchester, New Hampshire, at a decidedly less glamorous rally, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump blamed President Barack Obama’s fondness for golf as the source behind congressional obstruction, before launching into a laundry list of political goals.
“We are going to protect religious liberty, rebuild our military, and we are finally going to take care of our veterans properly,” Trump said. “We’re going to provide school choice and bring an end to Common Core - we’re gonna bring our education local.”“We are going to protect religious liberty, rebuild our military, and we are finally going to take care of our veterans properly,” Trump said. “We’re going to provide school choice and bring an end to Common Core - we’re gonna bring our education local.”
“And save our Second Amendment, which is under siege.”“And save our Second Amendment, which is under siege.”
2.32am GMT2.32am GMT
02:3202:32
Seriously, this crowd is huge.Seriously, this crowd is huge.
“Let’s make history!” —Hillary pic.twitter.com/33JmMKRfR4“Let’s make history!” —Hillary pic.twitter.com/33JmMKRfR4
2.29am GMT2.29am GMT
02:2902:29
Hillary Clinton, closing out her largest campaign rally since the Democratic National Convention, urged her supporters to turn out tomorrow, especially in states where limitations on voting have been enacted by local governments.Hillary Clinton, closing out her largest campaign rally since the Democratic National Convention, urged her supporters to turn out tomorrow, especially in states where limitations on voting have been enacted by local governments.
“We can take the first step tomorrow,” Clinton said. “We need your help. In these last hours, we need your help knocking on doors and making phone calls.”“We can take the first step tomorrow,” Clinton said. “We need your help. In these last hours, we need your help knocking on doors and making phone calls.”
“None of us want to wake up on Wednesday morning and wish we had done more,” Clinton continued. “Years from today, when your kids and grandkids asked what you did in 2016 when everything was on the line, I want you to be able to say that you did vote - you voted for an inclusive, bighearted, open-minded country future that will make sure that we all keep moving together.”“None of us want to wake up on Wednesday morning and wish we had done more,” Clinton continued. “Years from today, when your kids and grandkids asked what you did in 2016 when everything was on the line, I want you to be able to say that you did vote - you voted for an inclusive, bighearted, open-minded country future that will make sure that we all keep moving together.”
“You voted for an America where we build bridges, not walls! And maybe most importantly you voted in great numbers to demonstrate conclusively, once and for all, that yes, love trumps hate!”“You voted for an America where we build bridges, not walls! And maybe most importantly you voted in great numbers to demonstrate conclusively, once and for all, that yes, love trumps hate!”
“Let’s make history together!”“Let’s make history together!”
2.26am GMT2.26am GMT
02:2602:26
Hillary Clinton: 'Let’s show tomorrow that there will be no question about the outcome of this election'Hillary Clinton: 'Let’s show tomorrow that there will be no question about the outcome of this election'
“Tomorrow we face the test of our time,” Clinton said. “What will we vote for, not just against. What will we decide is on the ballot, because although my name and my opponent’s name will be on the ballot, every issue you are about is on that ballot.”“Tomorrow we face the test of our time,” Clinton said. “What will we vote for, not just against. What will we decide is on the ballot, because although my name and my opponent’s name will be on the ballot, every issue you are about is on that ballot.”
“If you believe college should be more affordable, you have to vote! If you believe we must reform our criminal justice system so that everyone has respect for the law, and everyone is respected by the law, then you have to vote!” Clinton continued. “If you believe we must raise the minimum wage and finally guarantee equal pay for women, then you have to vote!”“If you believe college should be more affordable, you have to vote! If you believe we must reform our criminal justice system so that everyone has respect for the law, and everyone is respected by the law, then you have to vote!” Clinton continued. “If you believe we must raise the minimum wage and finally guarantee equal pay for women, then you have to vote!”
“It is not just my name or Donald Trump’s name on the ballot tomorrow - every issue you care about is at stake. And that is just the beginning, because we have to bridge the divides in our country. I regret deeply how angry the tone of the campaign became.”“It is not just my name or Donald Trump’s name on the ballot tomorrow - every issue you care about is at stake. And that is just the beginning, because we have to bridge the divides in our country. I regret deeply how angry the tone of the campaign became.”
“Not your fault!” a single female voice shouted out, followed by cheers.“Not your fault!” a single female voice shouted out, followed by cheers.
“There were so many really troubling things that my opponent said,” Clinton said, but there was one instance that really stood out to her. “Refusing to say whether or not he would accept the outcome of the election. Well let’s show tomorrow that there will be no question about the outcome of this election!”“There were so many really troubling things that my opponent said,” Clinton said, but there was one instance that really stood out to her. “Refusing to say whether or not he would accept the outcome of the election. Well let’s show tomorrow that there will be no question about the outcome of this election!”
2.19am GMT2.19am GMT
02:1902:19
Framing tomorrow’s election as “a choice between division or unity, between an economy that works for everyone or only those at the top, between strong steady leadership, or a loose cannon who could put everything at risk,” Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton told the audience of nearly 30,000 supporters in Philadelphia that “our core values are being tested in this election,” Clinton said.Framing tomorrow’s election as “a choice between division or unity, between an economy that works for everyone or only those at the top, between strong steady leadership, or a loose cannon who could put everything at risk,” Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton told the audience of nearly 30,000 supporters in Philadelphia that “our core values are being tested in this election,” Clinton said.
“I believe with all my heart that America’s best days are still ahead of us if we reach for them together,” Clinton continued.“I believe with all my heart that America’s best days are still ahead of us if we reach for them together,” Clinton continued.
2.15am GMT
02:15
Hillary Clinton mounted the stage in Philadelphia after President Barack Obama pulled out a small box for her to stand on.
Obama could be overheard on the microphone saying, “When you’re president, it’s gonna be there permanently for ya.”
The audience went wild for that line, intended to be overheard or not.
“We have our amazing president and first lady with us because for now nearly eight years, they have served our nation with grace, strength, brilliance and a whole lot of cool!” Clinton said. “They have showed us again and again, as Michelle said right here in Philadelphia back at our convention, when others go low, we go high!”
“The best way to thank them is to do something really important tomorrow: to vote.”
2.12am GMT
02:12
Hillary Clinton campaigns in Philadelphia
Watch it live here:
2.12am GMT
02:12
Speaking in front of an enormous crowd at Independence Hall in Philadelphia, President Barack Obama called Hillary Clinton a woman who will “roll up her sleeves and move America forward.”
“I know elections and all the negative ads tend to heighten that cynicism,” Obama said, of election fatigue. But, he continued, “in 2008 you gave me a chance - a skinny guy with a funny name.”
“You bet on me all those years ago, and I will always be grateful for the privilege you gave me to serve,” Obama said, “but I’ll be honest with you - I’ve had the better odds, because I’ve always bet on you.”
“I’m betting that America will reject a politics of resentment, and a politics of blame, and will choose a politics that says that we are stronger together,” Obama said. “That is a bet that I have never, ever lost.”
“Philadelphia, in this place, where our founders forged the documents of freedom, in this place where they gave us the tools to perfect our union,” Obama said, “I ask you to vote.”
“I am asking you to work as hard as you can this one last day to elect, my fellow Americans, this fighter, this stateswoman, this proud mother, this candidate, to election Hillary Clinton!”
2.05am GMT
02:05
Donald Trump campaigns in Manchester, New Hampshire
We’ll keep liveblogging President Barack Obama, but watch it live here:
2.03am GMT
02:03
President Barack Obama, speaking in front of a crowd of nearly 30,000 people at Independence Mall in Philadelphia, said that stopping Donald Trump isn’t the only reason to vote tomorrow - and that Hillary Clinton’s candidacy is reason enough to show up.
“The vicious, crazy attacks, the double standards applied to her, they’re like nothing we’ve ever seen before,” Obama said, “and what makes it worse is most of the people saying this stuff, they don’t really believe it!”
“When you’re subjected to unrelenting negative fire, it takes a toll. But here’s the thing about Hillary: She doesn’t complain. She doesn’t buckle. She brushes it off. Like the American people, she is strong and tough, and she knows that government service is not about her - it’s about you! Your struggles. Your dreams.”
“She won’t just tweet,” Obama continued. “But she will need your help, and she’ll need help in Washington.”
2.00am GMT
02:00
President Barack Obama, speaking in front of a crowd of nearly 30,000 people at Independence Mall in Philadelphia, called Hillary Clinton more qualified to serve as his successor than any previous president - himself included.
“With Democrats in charge, America is stronger. Those are just the facts,” Obama said, citing his accomplishments on the economic, social and international stages. “And with just one more day to go, we now have the chance to elect a 45th president who will build on our progress, who will finish the job, who already has the respect of leaders around the world.”
“Tomorrow, Philadelphia, the choice you face when you step into that voting booth could not be clearer and could not be more serious,” Obama continued, lambasting Donald Trump as lacking “a basic understanding of the world.”
“If his closest advisors don’t trust him to tweet, why would any of us trust him with the nuclear codes?”
“Donald Trump has shown utter contempt for the values that make this nation great,” Obama continued. “All of this should give you reason enough to vote tomorrow.”
1.56am GMT
01:56
Introduced by first lady Michelle Obama as “the love of my life,” President Barack Obama bounded onto the stage at Independence Mall in Philadelphia to a roaring crowd of nearly 30,000.
“Thank you, Michelle, for being my partner, my love, my rock, and an amazing first lady!”
“Eight years ago, Ia asked all of you to join me on an unlikely journey. We set our, not just to change programs or policies, but to rebuild an economy where everybody had a chance to succeed,” Obama began. “We didn’t know when we began that America would fall into the worst economic crisis of our lifetimes, but in the face of great challenges, in the case of unprecedented obstruction in a cynical Washington, we stayed with it.”
“Because of your resilience, because of your strength, because of your faith, we turned ‘yes we can’ into ‘yes we did,’” Obama said, echoing his famous campaign slogan.
1.53am GMT
01:53
President Obama campaigns for Hillary Clinton in Philadelphia
Watch it live here:
1.52am GMT
01:52
Speaking at Independence Mall in Philadelphia, first lady Michelle Obama launches a patented tearjerker of a speech, addressing her husband’s unlikely path to the White House and exhorting the assembled thousands to vote for Hillary Clinton as his successor.
“Our actions are a reflection of what behavior we hope our children will emulate,” Michelle Obama said. “That’s why Barack and I have been working so hard in this election.”
Obama lauded Hillary Clinton as “a leader who takes this job seriously, someone who is truly ready to be commander in chief on day one.”
“We deserve a leader who will ensure that our daughters are safe and respected, and that our sons understand that truly strong men are compassionate and kind. We deserve a leader who sees the dignity and humanity in all of us, and who will encourage us to see the better angels in one another.”
“I am here tonight because I believe with all my heart and soul that Hillary Clinton is that leader!” Obama continued, to a roaring crowd. “And we need to do everything we can to get her elected president of the United States!”
“If we get out and vote tomorrow, Hillary Clinton will win - but if we stay home, or if we play around with a protest vote, then Hillary’s opponent will win. period, end of story,” Obama said.
“Presidential elections are breathtakingly close,” Obama continued. “Each of you has the power to swing an entire precinct for Hillary, and if we swing enough precincts, we will win this state, we will win this election, and we will continue this progress... that is the power that you have.”
“You can stand up to those who seek to divide us and make us afraid. You can declare with one voice that we are always stronger together. Tomorrow, with your vote, you can say that this country has always been great - that it is the greatest country on earth,” Obama continued. “A country where the biracial son of a single mother from Hawaii and the son of a single mother from Hope, Arkansas, can both make it to the White House!”
“A country where a passion,the outspoken young women determined to do all the good she can, can go on to break the highest, hardest glass ceiling and become our president! That is the power you have. And the history you can make tomorrow.”
“But only if we get out and vote for Hillary Clinton.”
1.46am GMT
01:46
Calling Hillary Clinton “an inspiration to me,” first lady Michelle Obama exhorted the tens of thousands assembled in Philadelphia to vote for Hillary Clinton as her husband’s successor.
“This is truly an emotional day for me, for so many reasons,” Obama said. “Tomorrow we have the chance to elect someone who is singularly qualified to be our president - our friend, Hillary Clinton!”
“She is a phenomenal woman who has devoted her life to helping others - kids in crumbling schools, families struggling to get by, women who need a voice,” Obama continued. “Hillary is the woman we want on our side because she never gives up, she never quits, she refuses to ever be knocked down, pushed around or counted out.”
“And in just a few hours, we have the chance to make her our next president.”
“Speaking here tonight is perhaps the last and most important thing that I can do for my country as first lady.”