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US election: Trump and Clinton in tight race on campaign's final day – live US election: Trump and Clinton in tight race on campaign's final day – live
(35 minutes later)
5.58am GMT
05:58
Trump is back on a familiar theme: inner cities.
You walk to the store for a loaf of bread, you get shot.
And then segues straight into another favourite of his: Syrian refugees. (Boos from the crowd.)
Her plan will import generations of terrorism … into your schools and throughout your communities.
5.54am GMT
05:54
Switching to Hillary Clinton for a moment now, as she steps up to the podium for what is also her final campaign rally. In Raleigh.
It’s 12.52am. “This is sure worth staying up for,” she says.
She can’t imagine a better way to end the campaign than seeing this crowd and watching Lady Gaga, “whose range goes from A-Z and beyond”, she says.
That’s what I want for the people of America: the joy, the passion!
5.52am GMT
05:52
More Trump on Mexico. It’s car plants, this time, rather than walls.
They take our money, they take our jobs, they build their plants, they build their factories. We end up with unemployment and drugs.
“It’s so easy” to fix, he says. He will “pick up the phone myself … I love it” to tell company executives they’ll have to pay a 35% tax to sell their products back to US consumers.
5.48am GMT
05:48
Hillary Clinton is on stage in Raleigh now, alongside Bill and Chelsea, who takes the podium first.
Meanwhile Trump is telling his crowd, multiple times: “She’s not going to be able to do the job.” This speech has focused very heavily on factories, car plants and jobs. And Mexico. There are going to be consequences, he says. “It’s so simple to solve.”
5.43am GMT
05:43
Flipping back to Trump: he’s telling the crowd to go to sleep “for a couple of hours” then vote and go to work:
I know my Michigan people. I have so many friends here. They work!
5.42am GMT
05:42
Gaga is singing again and this time Jon Bon Jovi is too. They are Living on a Prayer.
5.38am GMT
05:38
It’s hard to believe we started a year and a half ago, Trump tells the crowd.
(It is indeed.)
Now we have one flawed candidate left to beat.
He promises to return to Michigan “a lot” if he wins.
(Meanwhile, in Raleigh, Lady Gaga has stopped singing but has donned a hat.)
5.34am GMT
05:34
We don’t need Jay-Z or Beyoncé or Jon Bon Jovi or Lady Gaga, Trump says. (He doesn’t mention Springsteen. Perhaps he’d have liked to have had Springsteen.)
“We’re up in Florida,” he says. “Today we’re going to win back the great state of Michigan and we are going to take back the White House.”
5.31am GMT
05:31
Donald Trump begins final campaign rally
Trump is about to take the stage in Grand Rapids.
Someone, however, seems to have got fed up with waiting (it is, to be fair, half past midnight):
Looks as if the P has left the Trump rally a bit early pic.twitter.com/Kc6hHvgH6F
Updated
at 5.32am GMT
5.27am GMT
05:27
And the third – and, I believe, last for a while – result from New Hampshire is in.
Hart’s Location has gone for Clinton:
5.18am GMT5.18am GMT
05:1805:18
Millsfield, New Hampshire, toddles into second place with its declaration:Millsfield, New Hampshire, toddles into second place with its declaration:
Trump wins Millsfield, 16-4, Sanders gets a write inTrump wins Millsfield, 16-4, Sanders gets a write in
5.16am GMT5.16am GMT
05:1605:16
It’s going to be a long day:It’s going to be a long day:
Here's what the map would look like if only people in Dixville Notch voted. pic.twitter.com/K17aXvvfjzHere's what the map would look like if only people in Dixville Notch voted. pic.twitter.com/K17aXvvfjz
5.15am GMT5.15am GMT
05:1505:15
I’m trying to watch both rallies, which is complicated.I’m trying to watch both rallies, which is complicated.
Lady Gaga has put on some shades. She is singing now.Lady Gaga has put on some shades. She is singing now.
Pence is talking about jobs and Obamacare. He is wearing a tie.Pence is talking about jobs and Obamacare. He is wearing a tie.
5.10am GMT5.10am GMT
05:1005:10
And now you can take your pick.And now you can take your pick.
You can have Mike Pence in Grand Rapids, Michigan:You can have Mike Pence in Grand Rapids, Michigan:
OR Lady Gaga, opening for Hillary Clinton in Raleigh, North Carolina:OR Lady Gaga, opening for Hillary Clinton in Raleigh, North Carolina:
5.07am GMT5.07am GMT
05:0705:07
Dixville Notch results!Dixville Notch results!
Hillary Clinton: 4 votesHillary Clinton: 4 votes
Donald Trump: 2 votesDonald Trump: 2 votes
Gary Johnson: 1 voteGary Johnson: 1 vote
Mitt Romney (write-in!): 1 voteMitt Romney (write-in!): 1 vote
Turnout: 8Turnout: 8
UpdatedUpdated
at 5.07am GMTat 5.07am GMT
5.04am GMT5.04am GMT
05:0405:04
Happy election day:Happy election day:
It has begun pic.twitter.com/b7haJm8oPNIt has begun pic.twitter.com/b7haJm8oPN
Still counting in Dixville Notch, I mean, come on …Still counting in Dixville Notch, I mean, come on …
5.02am GMT5.02am GMT
05:0205:02
Slightly awkwardly, the first Dixville Notch voter fumbled getting the ballot into the box. But he recovered quickly.Slightly awkwardly, the first Dixville Notch voter fumbled getting the ballot into the box. But he recovered quickly.
The polls have now closed and they are OPENING THE BOX.The polls have now closed and they are OPENING THE BOX.
5.00am GMT5.00am GMT
05:0005:00
Voting starts in Dixville Notch!Voting starts in Dixville Notch!
And we’re on …And we’re on …
We’ll bring you the results as soon as they’ve counted the votes. There could be 12 of them, if turnout is good, so be patient.We’ll bring you the results as soon as they’ve counted the votes. There could be 12 of them, if turnout is good, so be patient.
4.55am GMT
04:55
Hillary, Bill, Chelsea, Marc and Bon Jovi arrive in Raleigh, NC for final campaign rally of 2016. pic.twitter.com/6Rd7YUzLlX
4.50am GMT
04:50
On the subject of Dixville Notch – the New Hampshire town will begin voting in about 12 minutes from now.
The population is only 12 too so the result should be an early one, unless residents decide to ruin election day tradition by taking an early night.
Millsfield NH is also voting from midnight, but there are 29 residents there, so it’ll take a while longer for the result to seep out.
4.43am GMT
04:43
Clinton’s plane has landed in Raleigh, North Carolina, ahead of her midnight rally.
No sign of Trump yet in Grand Rapids (was due at 11pm ET) – at this rate she’ll be on before he is.
At this rate, Dixville Notch will have finished voting before either of them wrap up their final rallies …
4.37am GMT
04:37
If you’re missing the Ted Nugent warm-up act – and Trump is, because he’s still on the plane – here’s a brief recap (he’s still going):
4.26am GMT
04:26
Back to Grand Rapids, where Trump is not (yet) but Ted Nugent is.
Given Trump’s earlier confusion over the music that most of us now know as rap – “Singing, right? Singing. Talking? Was it talking or singing? I don’t know” – he’ll probably be relieved to be missing this current talky-singy number from Nugent. (You can watch it live via the link a couple of posts down, should you really want to.)
4.20am GMT
04:20
This tweet has caused a fair bit of head-scratching:
If only people with at least 4 grandparents born in America were voting, Trump would win in a 50-state landslide.
Then Trump couldn't vote. https://t.co/lvJxT2rYNf
also wait who has more than four grandparents https://t.co/NKr2LQQW2S
4.11am GMT
04:11
Trump isn’t in Grand Rapids yet, but if you’d like to see Ted Nugent repeating his warm-up act, you can catch that live here:
Updated
at 4.13am GMT
4.06am GMT
04:06
Tom McCarthy
In the final nine days of the presidential campaign, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump made a combined total of 50 stops in 14 states. What do these stops tell us about the race?
Typically, last-minute campaign decisions are based on internal campaign polling not available to the public. Such polling explains why Al Gore campaigned at 2am in Florida on election day in 2000, as confusing as that move was for the opposition at the time.
The late moves of the 2016 campaign may be trickier to decode, in part because of the drunken-ninja style of the Donald Trump campaign, which reportedly ceased conducting its own polling last week or even two weeks ago.
The action in Michigan, visited twice by Clinton and four times by Trump, may be most interesting. The Great Lakes state emerged as an object of interest relatively late in the race, with both campaigns having dispensed with other, more central fights, and with the Trump campaign sensing opportunity with the state’s white blue-collar voters. The Clinton campaign hopes the state’s Democratic voting record since 1988 will be good for 16 electoral votes Tuesday night.
3.56am GMT
03:56
Shares in Asian markets – where it’s Tuesday already – have edged up as the prospect of a Clinton win looks more likely, Reuters reports:
Most Asian stock markets rose on Tuesday ahead of the election, with investors optimistic but cautious over improving prospects for a win by Hillary Clinton.
The Mexican peso, which strengthens as the perceived chances of an election victory by Donald Trump fall, retained its strong gains from Monday.
The dollar, which also advanced on Monday, edged slightly lower.
Boosting Clinton’s chances of winning, and markets globally, was a statement by the FBI on Sunday standing by its July finding that Clinton was not guilty of criminal wrongdoing in her use of a private email server.
That came after the FBI announced on 28 October it was reviewing additional emails relating to the server while Clinton was secretary of state, sending markets around the world tumbling.
Clinton is seen by investors as offering greater certainty and stability, and, until last week’s stumble, had been seen as the likely victor in Tuesday’s presidential vote.
But investors remained wary, noting Britain’s shock vote in June to leave the European Union had defied most polls and bookmakers’ odds.
“As markets head into the U.S. election, a final recalibration of risk is in train,” Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney, wrote in a note.
“Asia-Pacific markets were the first to adjust to the political shift, and may trade more modestly today after roaring back to life yesterday.”
We’ll be keeping an eye on markets in Asia and beyond as the votes are totted up on Tuesday (or Wednesday as it’s known in some parts of the globe).
3.48am GMT
03:48
The Miami Herald op-ed page is keeping it simple tomorrow:
Prediction: @HeraldOpEd gonna get a *few* emails about this one. It's the editorial page tomorrow. (Editorial = separate from newsroom.) pic.twitter.com/E1tLRIt2j0