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Wisconsin primary: Sanders and Cruz stand to make gains from key vote – live Wisconsin primary: Sanders and Cruz hope to crush Clinton and Trump – live
(35 minutes later)
1.07am BST
01:07
In Snapchat election, it's Sanders by a nose
Amber Jamieson
Bernie Sanders is winning the Snapchat election – at least on the follower count, writes the Guardian’s Amber Jamieson:
“We do have the largest – and I’ve heard by far – the largest one,” said Hector Sigala, a digital media director on the Sanders campaign.
Snapchat doesn’t offer its data publicly, but didn’t dispute claims that Sanders has the most people watching. One hundred million people use Snapchat daily, 86% of whom are under 35. Twice as many 18-24-year-olds watched the first GOP debate on Snapchat as opposed to TV. For candidates, it’s a critical platform.
You could call 2016 the “first Snapchat election”. In the early days of the campaign race, the Republicans were very active snappers, but as candidates have dropped out, the Democrats have been left nearly all by themselves on the app (Ted Cruz and Donald Trump both have accounts, but post only occasionally). Sanders and Clinton are a tale of two Snapchats – both with very different posting styles and strategies on how to use it to nab the youth vote.
So what do they post on the social media platform that, according to Nielsen, reaches 41% of all 18-34-year-old Americans on any given day?
Related: The first Snapchat election: how Bernie and Hillary are targeting the youth vote
“We definitely treat it as a different medium,” said Sigala. “For Snapchat we do try to give our supporters a very behind-the-scenes-type look, something you don’t get on other social media platforms. Our supporters feel a very deep ownership on this campaign and it’s kind of like they’re checking in on their investments.”
Read the full piece here.
12.43am BST
00:43
How excited should Donald Trump’s detractors be if he goes splat in Wisconsin? Like every question of this kind at this stage of the race, the answers is some version of “it depends.”
I am skeptical that Cruz winning Wisconsin portends anything other than Cruz continuing to win states he should win.
It depends for example on what happens in New York:
Bingo. Trump could easily erase poor WI performance by winning virtually all 95 NY delegates on 4/19. https://t.co/0gjVMya2bk
The same is true on the Democratic side, except moreso. A narrow win in Wisconsin for Sanders would not net him many delegates, while a narrow win for Clinton in much-bigger New York – not that she necessarily will win New York? – could net her many delegates:
Here's Bernie's delegate problem visualized https://t.co/Saf7fbwB89 pic.twitter.com/MlcmKcbOVy
12.33am BST12.33am BST
00:3300:33
Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report keeps his eye on Republican delegate math, and sees Trump coming up short – but well within a range that would be closable by swaying unattached delegates in the time period between the last primaries and the convention:Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report keeps his eye on Republican delegate math, and sees Trump coming up short – but well within a range that would be closable by swaying unattached delegates in the time period between the last primaries and the convention:
My latest back of envelope: Trump gets to 1,192 delegates, 45 short of a majority. https://t.co/8iDjx19a4WMy latest back of envelope: Trump gets to 1,192 delegates, 45 short of a majority. https://t.co/8iDjx19a4W
12.11am BST12.11am BST
00:1100:11
The exit poll temptationThe exit poll temptation
In keeping with tradition, we hereby supply you with links to exit polls – data compiled from interviews conducted with voters outside polling stations – which are likely to be meaningless, unless they are indicative.In keeping with tradition, we hereby supply you with links to exit polls – data compiled from interviews conducted with voters outside polling stations – which are likely to be meaningless, unless they are indicative.
Here’s a teaser: more than 80% of Democratic primary voters in Wisconsin were white, according to exit polls.Here’s a teaser: more than 80% of Democratic primary voters in Wisconsin were white, according to exit polls.
And: more than 85% of Trump voters say the Republican presidential nomination should fall to the candidate with the most delegates – even if no one candidate captures a majority, according to exit polls.And: more than 85% of Trump voters say the Republican presidential nomination should fall to the candidate with the most delegates – even if no one candidate captures a majority, according to exit polls.
Exit polls: A quarter of Wisconsin GOP voters excited by @realDonaldTrump candidacy; nearly 4 in 10 afraid of it: https://t.co/Yk1eq0jKV1Exit polls: A quarter of Wisconsin GOP voters excited by @realDonaldTrump candidacy; nearly 4 in 10 afraid of it: https://t.co/Yk1eq0jKV1
First look at network exit polls coming at the top of the hour... pic.twitter.com/9qfJMFPmbWFirst look at network exit polls coming at the top of the hour... pic.twitter.com/9qfJMFPmbW
UpdatedUpdated
at 12.12am BSTat 12.12am BST
12.02am BST12.02am BST
00:0200:02
Which election issues matter most to you? Tell usWhich election issues matter most to you? Tell us
As the primary season presses on, we’re getting a better sense of the candidates’ electability.As the primary season presses on, we’re getting a better sense of the candidates’ electability.
While they’re trading insults and accusations, tell us which issues matter most to you and why. Your contributions will help shape our election coverage.While they’re trading insults and accusations, tell us which issues matter most to you and why. Your contributions will help shape our election coverage.
Related: Which issue do you want US election candidates to discuss?Related: Which issue do you want US election candidates to discuss?
11.59pm BST11.59pm BST
23:5923:59
Cruz: I would arm the cheese curdsCruz: I would arm the cheese curds
An ABC News reporter asks Ted Cruz whether he would “arm the cheese curds,” in jocular reference both to a local Wisconsin delicacy and... the Kurd Kurds.An ABC News reporter asks Ted Cruz whether he would “arm the cheese curds,” in jocular reference both to a local Wisconsin delicacy and... the Kurd Kurds.
Cruz is hawkish on the cheese curds question. More about cheese curds.Cruz is hawkish on the cheese curds question. More about cheese curds.
WATCH: @tedcruz to @jesshop23 in Wisconsin: "Yes, we should arm the cheese curds"https://t.co/obAzcRKl6DWATCH: @tedcruz to @jesshop23 in Wisconsin: "Yes, we should arm the cheese curds"https://t.co/obAzcRKl6D
(h/t @bencjacobs)(h/t @bencjacobs)
UpdatedUpdated
at 12.05am BSTat 12.05am BST
11.50pm BST11.50pm BST
23:5023:50
Any takers?Any takers?
Fun fact: Cruz's watch party tonight is at American Serb Hall, where in 1972 Hunter S. Thompson dropped acid and covered George WallaceFun fact: Cruz's watch party tonight is at American Serb Hall, where in 1972 Hunter S. Thompson dropped acid and covered George Wallace
You can read that coverage here.You can read that coverage here.
11.32pm BST11.32pm BST
23:3223:32
Cruz edges Trump for first time in Reuters pollCruz edges Trump for first time in Reuters poll
Ted Cruz has for the first time rated higher than Donald Trump in a Reuters-Ipsos poll of a hypothetical national nominating race between the two.Ted Cruz has for the first time rated higher than Donald Trump in a Reuters-Ipsos poll of a hypothetical national nominating race between the two.
Of note: the poll measures ranges of support, and Trump at the top of his range is still ahead of Cruz at the bottom of his. But the sweet spot in Cruz’s range has just now lifted past Trump’s.Of note: the poll measures ranges of support, and Trump at the top of his range is still ahead of Cruz at the bottom of his. But the sweet spot in Cruz’s range has just now lifted past Trump’s.
A click-through tells the whole story.A click-through tells the whole story.
11.22pm BST11.22pm BST
23:2223:22
Clinton: Republicans 'do want to punish women'Clinton: Republicans 'do want to punish women'
Amber JamiesonAmber Jamieson
Hillary Clinton isn’t letting Donald Trump off the hook for controversial remarks about abortion last week – saying the GOP frontrunner’s “abortion should be punished” comments reflect his party’s views, writes Guardian reporter Amber Jamieson from Brooklyn:Hillary Clinton isn’t letting Donald Trump off the hook for controversial remarks about abortion last week – saying the GOP frontrunner’s “abortion should be punished” comments reflect his party’s views, writes Guardian reporter Amber Jamieson from Brooklyn:
“They do want to ban abortion and they do want to punish women and doctors, he just made the sin of saying what they believe,” Clinton told a crowded “Women for Hillary” event at Medgar Evers College in Brooklyn this afternoon.“They do want to ban abortion and they do want to punish women and doctors, he just made the sin of saying what they believe,” Clinton told a crowded “Women for Hillary” event at Medgar Evers College in Brooklyn this afternoon.
Clinton had several barbs for the local billionaire, including one attacking his plan to ban Muslims from entering the United States.Clinton had several barbs for the local billionaire, including one attacking his plan to ban Muslims from entering the United States.
“The fellow who’s actually from New York? I wish he’d get out of one of his towers and walk the streets,” said Clinton. “Peddling prejudice and paranoia is not the New York way.”“The fellow who’s actually from New York? I wish he’d get out of one of his towers and walk the streets,” said Clinton. “Peddling prejudice and paranoia is not the New York way.”
She also slammed Ted Cruz’s plan to monitor Muslim neighborhoods, noting that Muslims live everywhere. “How’s he ever going to figure that out in New York is beyond me,” Clinton said. “Maybe other cities have signs?”She also slammed Ted Cruz’s plan to monitor Muslim neighborhoods, noting that Muslims live everywhere. “How’s he ever going to figure that out in New York is beyond me,” Clinton said. “Maybe other cities have signs?”
Clinton was introduced to the stage by Yvette Clarke, the Brooklyn congresswoman, and Chirlane McCray, the city’s first lady.Clinton was introduced to the stage by Yvette Clarke, the Brooklyn congresswoman, and Chirlane McCray, the city’s first lady.
The venue was at capacity and scores of people were refused entry – although inside it didn’t seem packed. The New York state primary is 19 April, and Clinton is pushing hard for some local love from the state where she served as senator.The venue was at capacity and scores of people were refused entry – although inside it didn’t seem packed. The New York state primary is 19 April, and Clinton is pushing hard for some local love from the state where she served as senator.
“I believe the values of New York are the values of America,” she said, which got the crowd on their feet cheering and a line of people asking her for selfies.“I believe the values of New York are the values of America,” she said, which got the crowd on their feet cheering and a line of people asking her for selfies.
UpdatedUpdated
at 11.23pm BSTat 11.23pm BST
11.14pm BST11.14pm BST
23:1423:14
Just under three hours now until polls close in Wisconsin.Just under three hours now until polls close in Wisconsin.
To-reorient late joiners: there are 42 delegates at stake on the Republican side this evening, with 18 going to the plurality winner of the statewide vote, and three each going to the plurality winner in each of the state’s eight congressional districts. As Scott pointed out earlier, the districts comport roughly (although not exactly) with the state’s counties.To-reorient late joiners: there are 42 delegates at stake on the Republican side this evening, with 18 going to the plurality winner of the statewide vote, and three each going to the plurality winner in each of the state’s eight congressional districts. As Scott pointed out earlier, the districts comport roughly (although not exactly) with the state’s counties.
On the Democratic side, 86 delegates are to be awarded proportionally tonight. A narrow win for either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders would thus, bragging rights aside, not much budge the delegates race.On the Democratic side, 86 delegates are to be awarded proportionally tonight. A narrow win for either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders would thus, bragging rights aside, not much budge the delegates race.
Donald Trump has captured 737 delegates, Ted Cruz has captured 475 and John Kasich has captured 143. They’re trying to get to 1,237.Donald Trump has captured 737 delegates, Ted Cruz has captured 475 and John Kasich has captured 143. They’re trying to get to 1,237.
Clinton has captured 1,712 delegates, and Sanders has captured 1,011. They’re trying to get to 2,383.Clinton has captured 1,712 delegates, and Sanders has captured 1,011. They’re trying to get to 2,383.
You can check out our comprehensive delegate tracker here. Thanks for joining us and, as always, we invite you to make your predictions and state your opinions (or vent your enthusiasms and frustrations) in the comments.You can check out our comprehensive delegate tracker here. Thanks for joining us and, as always, we invite you to make your predictions and state your opinions (or vent your enthusiasms and frustrations) in the comments.
10.52pm BST10.52pm BST
22:5222:52
Megan CarpentierMegan Carpentier
There was heavy traffic in and out of Waukesha County’s Pewaukee City Hall in the 4pm local hour, as residents of Wards 8, 9 and 10 streamed in and out to cast their school board, state and local judiciary and presidential primary ballots.There was heavy traffic in and out of Waukesha County’s Pewaukee City Hall in the 4pm local hour, as residents of Wards 8, 9 and 10 streamed in and out to cast their school board, state and local judiciary and presidential primary ballots.
Residents who had to re-register because of a change of address were steered into a separate conference room to complete the process – and though the precinct chair lamented that more people hadn’t done so earlier, she said it was better for them to do so now than on election night in November.Residents who had to re-register because of a change of address were steered into a separate conference room to complete the process – and though the precinct chair lamented that more people hadn’t done so earlier, she said it was better for them to do so now than on election night in November.
As one long-time 92-year-old poll worker greeted friends and neighbors, voters lined up to slide their Scantron-type ballots into a machine and collect their I-Voted stickers. (One particularly enthusiastic toddler was granted leave to take two, and he left in his mother’s arms, waving one and grinning wildly.)As one long-time 92-year-old poll worker greeted friends and neighbors, voters lined up to slide their Scantron-type ballots into a machine and collect their I-Voted stickers. (One particularly enthusiastic toddler was granted leave to take two, and he left in his mother’s arms, waving one and grinning wildly.)
Election workers said the site had been busy all day, though there hadn’t been lines out the door since the morning hours. Still, with a few hours left to vote and people fighting rush hour traffic to the suburban Milwaukee town, they expected it to heat up again.Election workers said the site had been busy all day, though there hadn’t been lines out the door since the morning hours. Still, with a few hours left to vote and people fighting rush hour traffic to the suburban Milwaukee town, they expected it to heat up again.
And after the last ballot is cast – they had more than 1,100 for the day already in addition to 1,800 early in-person absentees – poll workers would have to hand-check every ballot, separate them by ward, count them and make sure all the tallies matched up before calling anything in.And after the last ballot is cast – they had more than 1,100 for the day already in addition to 1,800 early in-person absentees – poll workers would have to hand-check every ballot, separate them by ward, count them and make sure all the tallies matched up before calling anything in.
In a tight race, that could make for quite a long night.In a tight race, that could make for quite a long night.
Related: Wisconsin voter ID law leaves state braced for primary day chaosRelated: Wisconsin voter ID law leaves state braced for primary day chaos
UpdatedUpdated
at 10.53pm BSTat 10.53pm BST
10.48pm BST
22:48
Voter says tribal ID turned down at polling site
Megan Carpentier
Collin Price, 33, is an enrolled member of the federally recognized Ho-Chunk Native American tribe in Tomah, Wisconsin. As such, he carries a tribal-issued photo ID, one of 12 tribal IDs recognized by the state of Wisconsin for the purposes of voter identification.
(Only those with ID cards from tribes with land in Wisconsin – there are 11 Wisconsin-based tribes and one Minnesota-based tribe that qualify – can use them to vote in the state.)
But when Price showed up in Tomah to vote today and, because he recently moved had to re-register under his new address, he says that the poll worker refused to accept his tribal ID for the purpose of re-registration.
“I didn’t want to get in a heated argument”, he said. “But everything on my end was saying that I could use my ID.”
Related: Wisconsin voter ID law leaves state braced for primary day chaos
Still, he said, the woman processing his change of address insisted: his driver’s license, or he wouldn’t be allowed to vote. She said that another Native American voter had come in earlier and shown his tribal ID, and that’s what she’d been told to say.
So he pulled out his driver’s license and was able to vote.
“What if I didn’t have my driver’s license?” he asked.
According to a Brennan Center report, Native Americans in Wisconsin are 38.6% more likely to have moved recently that white Wisconsinites, which makes them more likely to have to re-register. And Price was right: according to the state’s website, he should have been able to use his tribal ID to both re-register and to vote.
“I like to vote!” he said. “I like getting my sticker.”
Updated
at 10.49pm BST
10.45pm BST
22:45
Amber Jamieson
Hillary Clinton said she wishes Donald Trump would “get out of one of his towers and walk the streets,” reports the Guardian’s Amber Jamieson from a Women for Hillary event at Medgar Evers college in Brooklyn. Amber has been live-tweeting the event, with a longer file to come:
Some guy just started an "I'm with her" chant.
Crowd at Clinton’s event is super diverse, majority African-Americans and people of colour - mainly women, mainly mid 30s and older.
“What I want to do is just talk about some of the issues” - says Clinton, as she asks her staff to remove the lectern.
Selfie scrum with Clinton. pic.twitter.com/E465dHcYXF
Chant guy - I assume he works for the campaign - starts “Hillary” chant, then Fight Song plays.
Updated
at 10.46pm BST
10.09pm BST
22:09
Sanders on Panama papers: I'd 'prosecute'
Democratic hopeful Bernie Sanders has released a statement on the 11.5m files within the Panama Papers, documents from the major offshore law firm Mossack Fonseca.
“We now know, as a result of the ‘Panama Papers’ released by an international consortium of investigative journalists, that more than 214,000 entities throughout the world have been using a law firm in Panama to avoid paying taxes,” the Sanders statement said, continuing:
At a time of massive income and wealth inequality in the United States and around the world, the wealthiest people and largest corporations must start paying their fair share of taxes. Children should not go hungry while billionaires use offshore tax havens to avoid paying their fair share of taxes. [...]
My opponent ... helped push the Panama Free Trade Agreement through Congress as Secretary of State. The results have been a disaster.
My administration will conduct an immediate investigation into U.S. banks, corporations and wealthy individuals who have been stashing their cash in Panama to avoid taxes. If any of them have violated U.S. law, my administration will prosecute them to the fullest extent of the law.”
9.41pm BST
21:41
Megan Carpentier
At 2pm local time, students near the front of a voter registration line stretching nearly two-thirds of the way around the first floor of Marquette University’s Alumni Memorial Hall were about to be late for class after a two-hour wait.
The students, who are subject to more stringent voter identification requirements than any other group in the state if they choose or have to use their student ID cards to vote, had to, like all voters in the state, re-register to vote if their current address differs from the one on their ID.
It makes for a long wait, especially when they additionally have to show one of the six people working the registration tables proof of current enrollment.
Related: Wisconsin voter ID law leaves state braced for primary day chaos
Precinct workers said that the polling station and registration lines had been busy all day, as campus staff swirled around trying to make sure there was no one in the registration line who could simply vote and to make sure the hallways remained clear.
Students manning a Mental Health Week table by the front door of the building said that the line for registration in the morning was less than half the length, and students standing at that point said they’d already been waiting two hours. They likely had another 90 minutes to wait.
Some students, seeing the line, gave up and left; another chatting to a friend confided that his friends had saved him a place, as he’d had classes all morning and had a meeting with his advisor at 3pm.
He likely had another 90 minutes to wait, from where he stood.
8.05pm BST
20:05
Megan Carpentier
This is the line to register to vote. The kids at the front have been waiting for 90 minutes.
This is the current line to register to vote today at Marquette University. pic.twitter.com/dbAoptJ0Jl
7.47pm BST
19:47
Hillary Clinton: You can be a feminist and pro-life
In an interview on The View this afternoon, former secretary of state Hillary Clinton told the all-female panel that she believes that people who oppose abortion access can still be feminists.
“Do you believe you can be pro-life and a feminist?” co-host and former Full House star Candace Cameron Bure asked Clinton.
“Yes, I do, absolutely,” Clinton said. “I respect the opinions and beliefs of every woman. The reason why being pro-choice is the right way to go is because it is a choice, and hopefully a choice that is rooted in the thoughtfulness and the care that women bring to this decision, so of course you can be a feminist and be pro-life.”
The candidate was also asked about comments made on Meet the Press this past Sunday, in which she stated that an “unborn person doesn’t have constitutional rights,” in reference to so-called “personhood” bills.
“Under our law, that is the case,” Clinton said. “I support Roe v. Wade because I think it is an important statement about the importance of a woman making this most difficult decision with consultation by whom she chooses, her doctor, her faith, her family, and under the law, and under certainly that decision, that is the way we structure it.”
7.14pm BST
19:14
Megan Carpentier
At the Clinton Rose Senior Center in Milwaukee, poll workers said at lunch time that traffic had been steady all day as people, mostly African-American, filed in to vote, showed their newly-required photo identifications and left with lollipops.
Outside the rec room in which the electronic voting booths were set up, a groups of older women, one in a wheelchair, waited for a senior assistance bus to take them back to their homes. One of the staff brought over a speaker and played a jazz song with a beat, so two women got up and danced as the others applauded to urge them on andgossiped with one another.
When their bus driver himself finished voting, they walked back out in pairs and got back on the bus, laughing and chattering away.
6.48pm BST
18:48
The Southern Poverty Law Center has issued a statement about Mississippi’s new law allowing for discrimination against LGBT people:
“Gov. Phil Bryant’s decision to sign HB 1523 into law is unconscionable. This newly enacted law - like the draconian anti-LGBT laws in other states - uses the guise of ‘religious freedom’ to justify discrimination, mistreatment and bigotry. It’s the same sort of rationale used by white supremacists in earlier eras to justify slavery and Jim Crow. The estimated 60,000 LGBT people in Mississippi deserve better. We need to stand up for the rights of all people.
6.30pm BST
18:30
Scott Bixby
The governor of Mississippi has signed into law a bill that allows private and public businesses to refuse service to same-sex couples, so long as that couple’s existence conflicts with the “sincerely held religious beliefs or moral convictions” of the business owner.
Governor Phil Bryant released a statement on Twitter after signing House Bill 1523, also known as the “Protecting Freedom of Conscience from Government Discrimination Act,” protesting accusations that the bill facilitates discrimination against LGBT Mississippians. Instead, Bryant said, the bill “merely reinforces the rights which currently exist to the exercise of religious freedom as stated in the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.”
I have signed House Bill 1523. Full statement: pic.twitter.com/00DbgQADFt
The bill, which additionally asserts that marriage “is or should be recognized as the union of one man and one woman” and that sexual relations are “properly reserved” only for such unions, is also the first statewide legislation to codify the belief that transgender individuals are to be considered members of the gender they are assigned at birth, regardless of their own gender identity.
“Male (man) or female (woman) refer to an individual’s immutable biological sex as objectively determined by anatomy and genetics at time of birth,” the measure states.
While individuals, businesses and charities may decline to provide services to LGBT customers, the bill still requires to the state government to provide services - although it does allow government employees to opt out of providing services individually.
“[The bill] does not attempt to challenge federal laws, even those which are in conflict with the Mississippi Constitution, as the Legislature recognizes the prominence of federal law in such limited circumstances,” Bryant wrote.
“This is a sad day for the state of Mississippi and for the thousands of Mississippians who can now be turned away from businesses, refused marriage licenses, or denied housing, essential services and needed care based on who they are,” the American Civil Liberties Union of Mississippi released in a statement. “This bill flies in the face of the basic American principles of fairness, justice and equality and will not protect anyone’s religious liberty. Far from protecting anyone from ‘government discrimination’ as the bill claims, it is an attack on the citizens of our state, and it will serve as the Magnolia State’s badge of shame.”
6.12pm BST
18:12
In the latest issue of Variety, Megyn Kelly told the magazine that Donald Trump’s continued attacks on her pose a threat to the first amendment of the US constitution. “I’ve seen what’s happened with Michelle Fields and in my own world, there’s another side to this behavior,” Kelly said. “It poses real risks to the person under attack.”
“It has not been enjoyable,” she said of Trump’s attacks since the first Republican debate in Cleveland, in which she questioned his past history of misogynist remarks. “I wish it hadn’t happened. I hope it will stop - his focus on me. If he’s determined not to stop, there’s nothing I can do. I don’t like being the story. I think it raises real First Amendment issues.”
Still, Kelly sees Trump as the most likely person to seize the Republican presidential nomination.
“The smart money is on Hillary right now, and I think the smart money is on Trump too. It’s going to take a lot to stop him,” she said. “I don’t see a clear path for Kasich or Cruz. Something extraordinary would have to happen, but this whole year has been extraordinary.”
Updated
at 6.13pm BST