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Wisconsin primary live: Sanders and Cruz hope to crush Clinton and Trump | |
(35 minutes later) | |
2.14am BST | |
02:14 | |
Ben Jacobs has wrapped a jungle vine around his waist and dived into the treacherous depths of a big new pool of exit polling data pertaining to Republican voters in the Wisconsin primary. | |
Ben sees Cruz, unusually, edging Trump with less-educated voters: | |
Cruz wins even among voters with high school education or less in WI, the Trump base so far. pic.twitter.com/ONMRrzIjw7 | |
Appears to be a high proportion of self-identified “conservatives” among Republican voters: | |
74 percent of Wisconsin voters identified as conservative tonight pic.twitter.com/SjafThFf3H | |
And not much bother about “build a wall,” apparently: | |
Big issue for Trump was that immigration was the most important issue for only 6% of Wisconsin voters pic.twitter.com/76DtICriz6 | |
There’s a lot more where that came from here. | |
2.05am BST | |
02:05 | |
Megan Carpentier | |
Here’s one last story of a tangle by a Wisconsin voter with the state’s difficult new voter ID laws, courtesy of Guardian reporter in the field Megan Carpentier: | |
“I expected this to happen in Waukesha County”, said Ben Krause-Decorah, 22, of his experience trying to cast a ballot using a legal tribal ID as allowed under Wisconsin’s new strictest-in-the-nation voter identification law. “I didn’t realize that it was a hugely red county when I moved here, but now I see it all the time.” | |
Krause-Decorah is an enrolled member of the federally- and state-recognized Ho-Chunk Native American tribe and, as part of his job, he works with many other tribe members who live in the state. “There’s tons of people in my tribe who don’t have a state-issued ID”, he said, including his own sister. “Lots of people don’t have driver’s licenses. A tribal ID is free, it’s easy to get, it’s supposed to be valid.” | |
And when Krause-Decorah showed up to his polling station in Ward 19 in Waukesha County to update his address and cast his ballot, he was hearted to see on a sign displayed in the foyer that his tribal ID was going to be accepted. | |
But when he stepped into the side room to update his address as part of Wisconsin’s re-registration process, he was shocked to see that tribal IDs were not on the list next to the voting officials dealing with registrations. “Is this a real ID?” the woman asked him. | |
They debated its validity for a few moments, he said. “The words she used – ‘It’s really better for everyone if you just use a driver’s license’ – were like an ultimatum or a threat,” he said. | |
Reluctantly, he pulled out his driver’s license to complete the registration process, and then got in the line to cast his ballot.But in that line, again, the poll worker questioned the validity of his tribal ID, despite its being one of a very small number of acceptable forms of identification. She, too, demanded his driver’s license and questioned loudly whether he was allowed to present his tribal ID. | |
“My sister’s an introvert,” he said. “Lots of people aren’t going to want to go through the hassle and humiliation of this, especially if they don’t have driver’s licenses.” | |
1.59am BST | |
01:59 | |
First Wisconsin result in minutes | |
Here it is, almost 9pm ET. We would direct your attention northward, to our Wisconsin results interactive. | |
May the best candidate win! | |
Updated | |
at 1.59am BST | |
1.57am BST | |
01:57 | |
Two weeks before New York, the Donald Trump campaign plans to bring aboard former New York Representative John Sweeney, who will “helping out on legal work,” the New York Times reports. | |
Who? Guardian politics reporter Ben Jacobs has you covered: | |
Lost bid for re-election in 2006 after being photographed at a frat party and a domestic violence incident https://t.co/3NDcD3G6et | |
I tried to minimize the font enough to be able to screenshot the "controversies" section on John Sweeney's wikipedia article. I couldn't. | |
How’d this hire come about? The fit was just right? | |
Take this quiz: which Donald Trump surrogate are you? | |
Updated | |
at 2.00am BST | |
1.45am BST | |
01:45 | |
Kasich camp: 'contest is wide open' | |
John Weaver, chief strategist for trailing Republican hopeful John Kasich, pre-buts an anticipated third-place finish for the Ohio governor tonight. Kasich has won only his home state. | |
“The nomination contest is now wide open,” Weaver said in an email to supporters: | |
This week will be remembered as the one in which Ted Cruz and Donald Trump both effectively admitted they will not reach the GOP Convention with enough bound delegates to be the nominee. | |
Rather than admit their own electoral and political shortcomings, they are blaming John Kasich, the only Republican who can defeat Hillary Clinton in November.\ | |
The email includes a section titled “No One Will Reach 1237,” and concludes with a roundup of polls showing Kasich as the only current Republican presidential candidate ahead of Hillary Clinton in a general election. | |
(h/t: @bencjacobs) | |
1.39am BST | 1.39am BST |
01:39 | 01:39 |
Sign up for our daily election news digest | Sign up for our daily election news digest |
Like what you read here? We’d invite you to sign up for our election news digest, The Campaign Minute. | Like what you read here? We’d invite you to sign up for our election news digest, The Campaign Minute. |
The Minute is our daily fast-funny take on US politics. It’s designed to be read on your phone or tablet, it brings you the biggest headlines and the brightest campaign trail color – and you can read it in one minute or less. | The Minute is our daily fast-funny take on US politics. It’s designed to be read on your phone or tablet, it brings you the biggest headlines and the brightest campaign trail color – and you can read it in one minute or less. |
If you’d like to give it a try, click through to today’s minute, scroll to the bottom and add your email address to our distribution list. | If you’d like to give it a try, click through to today’s minute, scroll to the bottom and add your email address to our distribution list. |
And thanks for reading! | And thanks for reading! |
1.31am BST | 1.31am BST |
01:31 | 01:31 |
First Wisconsin results in at 9pm ET | First Wisconsin results in at 9pm ET |
For those of you just joining us, welcome to our live coverage of tonight’s Wisconsin primary. Polls close at 9pm ET. | For those of you just joining us, welcome to our live coverage of tonight’s Wisconsin primary. Polls close at 9pm ET. |
Thoughtful models show that a poor performance tonight for Donald Trump could make it very difficult for him to win the Republican nomination outright, before the July convention. But even a very strong showing by Ted Cruz would not alter the difficulties facing his would-be climb to 1,237 delegates. | Thoughtful models show that a poor performance tonight for Donald Trump could make it very difficult for him to win the Republican nomination outright, before the July convention. But even a very strong showing by Ted Cruz would not alter the difficulties facing his would-be climb to 1,237 delegates. |
Cruz surge has moved goal posts: for Trump, 3, 6, or even 9 delegates from Wisconsin would be a huge victory on march to 1,237. | Cruz surge has moved goal posts: for Trump, 3, 6, or even 9 delegates from Wisconsin would be a huge victory on march to 1,237. |
On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders led by five or so points in polling averages, but he did not seem on the verge of a big catchup night in the delegates race that would allow him to overtake Hillary Clinton. | On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders led by five or so points in polling averages, but he did not seem on the verge of a big catchup night in the delegates race that would allow him to overtake Hillary Clinton. |
Our comprehensive results page is here, and a thumbnail version will live atop the blog throughout the night. Thanks for reading and, as always, please join us in the comments! | Our comprehensive results page is here, and a thumbnail version will live atop the blog throughout the night. Thanks for reading and, as always, please join us in the comments! |
Updated | Updated |
at 1.33am BST | at 1.33am BST |
1.18am BST | 1.18am BST |
01:18 | 01:18 |
We’re within 45 minutes of the first Wisconsin results coming in. | We’re within 45 minutes of the first Wisconsin results coming in. |
It’s time to bookmark our live, district-by-district election results page. It features animated candidates riding scissors lifts to victoriously paintbrush districts as they steal the lead: | It’s time to bookmark our live, district-by-district election results page. It features animated candidates riding scissors lifts to victoriously paintbrush districts as they steal the lead: |
Related: Wisconsin primary results: track the votes, county by county | Related: Wisconsin primary results: track the votes, county by county |
A non-animated version will live atop the blog all night – enjoy! | A non-animated version will live atop the blog all night – enjoy! |
1.12am BST | 1.12am BST |
01:12 | 01:12 |
GOP senator urges hearings on Obama's supreme court pick | GOP senator urges hearings on Obama's supreme court pick |
Sabrina Siddiqui | Sabrina Siddiqui |
One of the few Republican senators to meet with Barack Obama’s supreme court nominee said she was now “more convinced than ever” that the US Senate should hold hearings on judge Merrick Garland, writes Guardian politics reporter Sabrina Siddiqui: | One of the few Republican senators to meet with Barack Obama’s supreme court nominee said she was now “more convinced than ever” that the US Senate should hold hearings on judge Merrick Garland, writes Guardian politics reporter Sabrina Siddiqui: |
Maine senator Susan Collins met with Garland on Tuesday and lavished praise on Obama’s pick to replace the late justice Antonin Scalia. | Maine senator Susan Collins met with Garland on Tuesday and lavished praise on Obama’s pick to replace the late justice Antonin Scalia. |
“I found judge Garland to be well-informed, thoughtful, impressive, extraordinarily bright and with a sensitivity that I look for [regarding the] appropriate roles that the constitution assigns to the three branches,” Collins told reporters following their sit-down. | “I found judge Garland to be well-informed, thoughtful, impressive, extraordinarily bright and with a sensitivity that I look for [regarding the] appropriate roles that the constitution assigns to the three branches,” Collins told reporters following their sit-down. |
“The meeting left me more convinced than ever that the process should proceed. The next step, in my view, should be public hearings.” | “The meeting left me more convinced than ever that the process should proceed. The next step, in my view, should be public hearings.” |
Collins’ comments came despite vows from Senate Republican leaders to hold firm against considering the nomination, a position that took hold even before Obama chose Garland, the chief judge of the US court of appeals for the District of Columbia circuit, as his nominee. | Collins’ comments came despite vows from Senate Republican leaders to hold firm against considering the nomination, a position that took hold even before Obama chose Garland, the chief judge of the US court of appeals for the District of Columbia circuit, as his nominee. |
Read the full piece here: | Read the full piece here: |
Related: Republican senator Susan Collins urges hearings on Obama's supreme court pick | Related: Republican senator Susan Collins urges hearings on Obama's supreme court pick |
1.07am BST | 1.07am BST |
01:07 | 01:07 |
In Snapchat election, it's Sanders by a nose | In Snapchat election, it's Sanders by a nose |
Amber Jamieson | Amber Jamieson |
Bernie Sanders is winning the Snapchat election – at least on the follower count, writes the Guardian’s Amber Jamieson: | Bernie Sanders is winning the Snapchat election – at least on the follower count, writes the Guardian’s Amber Jamieson: |
“We do have the largest – and I’ve heard by far – the largest one,” said Hector Sigala, a digital media director on the Sanders campaign. | “We do have the largest – and I’ve heard by far – the largest one,” said Hector Sigala, a digital media director on the Sanders campaign. |
Snapchat doesn’t offer its data publicly, but didn’t dispute claims that Sanders has the most people watching. One hundred million people use Snapchat daily, 86% of whom are under 35. Twice as many 18-24-year-olds watched the first GOP debate on Snapchat as opposed to TV. For candidates, it’s a critical platform. | Snapchat doesn’t offer its data publicly, but didn’t dispute claims that Sanders has the most people watching. One hundred million people use Snapchat daily, 86% of whom are under 35. Twice as many 18-24-year-olds watched the first GOP debate on Snapchat as opposed to TV. For candidates, it’s a critical platform. |
You could call 2016 the “first Snapchat election”. In the early days of the campaign race, the Republicans were very active snappers, but as candidates have dropped out, the Democrats have been left nearly all by themselves on the app (Ted Cruz and Donald Trump both have accounts, but post only occasionally). Sanders and Clinton are a tale of two Snapchats – both with very different posting styles and strategies on how to use it to nab the youth vote. | You could call 2016 the “first Snapchat election”. In the early days of the campaign race, the Republicans were very active snappers, but as candidates have dropped out, the Democrats have been left nearly all by themselves on the app (Ted Cruz and Donald Trump both have accounts, but post only occasionally). Sanders and Clinton are a tale of two Snapchats – both with very different posting styles and strategies on how to use it to nab the youth vote. |
So what do they post on the social media platform that, according to Nielsen, reaches 41% of all 18-34-year-old Americans on any given day? | So what do they post on the social media platform that, according to Nielsen, reaches 41% of all 18-34-year-old Americans on any given day? |
Related: The first Snapchat election: how Bernie and Hillary are targeting the youth vote | Related: The first Snapchat election: how Bernie and Hillary are targeting the youth vote |
“We definitely treat it as a different medium,” said Sigala. “For Snapchat we do try to give our supporters a very behind-the-scenes-type look, something you don’t get on other social media platforms. Our supporters feel a very deep ownership on this campaign and it’s kind of like they’re checking in on their investments.” | “We definitely treat it as a different medium,” said Sigala. “For Snapchat we do try to give our supporters a very behind-the-scenes-type look, something you don’t get on other social media platforms. Our supporters feel a very deep ownership on this campaign and it’s kind of like they’re checking in on their investments.” |
Read the full piece here. | Read the full piece here. |