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EU referendum results: Labour 'working to assumption leave will win' – live coverage EU referendum results: Nigel Farage declares 'independence day' – live
(35 minutes later)
3.53am BST 4.29am BST
03:53 04:29
Remain source says it looks 'very tough from here'
3.52am BST
03:52
Cameron will have to resign if Britain votes for Brexit, says Benn
Hilary Benn, the shadow foreign secretary, has said David Cameron will have to resign if the UK votes to leave.
If there were to be a vote to Leave, then as far as the Prime Minister is concerned I don’t see how he is going to remain in his job for very long at all.
I think it’s very hard for him in those circumstances to remain. If you are the prime minister, you’ve called this referendum, you’ve laid your reputation on the line and your arguments, I think it’s going to be very hard.
3.51am BST
03:51
Henry McDonald
Ian Paisley Jr, the North Antrim MP, has predicted that a Brexit vote would increase the Democratic Unionist party’s influence in the House of Commons due to the likely chaos within the Tory ranks.
Paisley, whose firebrand father Ian represented the constituency for decades, said if some Tory MPs withdraw their support for the government, “this is where the DUP will come in and be more influential. It means we can extract more for Northern Ireland with our 8 MPs.”
Overall it appears that Northern Ireland – unlike Wales a pro-remain region, with at least around 56% of the electorate voting to stay in the EU.
3.46am BST
03:46
Sterling's 8% fall is biggest ever one-day move
Nick Fletcher
The pound is now down 8% at $1.36, its biggest ever one-day move (it swung by 7% in 2008).
The falls have accelerated as Sheffield unexpectedly backed leave and ITV put an 80% chance on leave winning the vote.
Updated
at 3.49am BST
3.46am BST
03:46
After 167 results, out of 382, here are the latest figures.
It is the vote figures that count.
Areas
Remain: 51
Leave: 116
Votes
Remain: 5,846,811 (48.5%)
Leave: 6,199,790 (51.5%)
After 167 #EUref results - Heath 5,846,811 (48.5%) / Thatcher 6,199,790 (51.5%)
3.41am BST
03:41
Steven MorrisSteven Morris
Eighteen of the 22 Welsh authorities have now declared. Only three – the Vale of Glamorgan in the south, Monmouthshire in the south-east and Ceredigion in west Wales – have voted to remain, the rest are for leave. In Wales 21 of 22 results have been declared – 17 for leave, four for remain. Running totals in Wales are 52.9% for leave and 47.1% for remain. Only Gwynedd to go. Wales is very much out.
In places like the south Wales valleys (traditional Labour heartlands), leave is sweeping the board. Cardiff is expected to vote to stay but it’s been a miserable night in Wales for the remain campaign. Ironically, some of the places that have received the most EU funding over the years because of their economic problems have voted most strongly to leave. Julie Morgan, Labour assembly member for Cardiff North and the wife of former first minister Rhodri Morgan, welcomed a win for remain in the capital. But she said her party needed to analyse why its heartland seats in the valleys and in cities like Swansea and Newport had voted to leave.
Remain campaigners seeing it as a protest against the establishment, against austerity rather than a positive mood. The steel crisis and fears over immigration can’t have helped. 4.28am BST
04:28
Massive losses expected when London stock market opens
Graeme Wearden
City traders are bracing for a massive selloff when the London stock market opens at 8am.
The futures market is indicating that the FTSE 100 index of blue-chip shares will plunge by 480 points, a drop of around 7.5%.
That would wipe around £120bn off the Footsie, which is home to many of Britain’s biggest companies.
You can track it on IG’s website.
Shares in banking giant HSBC have already plunged by 8% in Hong Kong (its shares are listed there, and in London).
4.27am BST
04:27
Here are some more results.
South Staffordshire
Remain 23,444 (35.15%) Leave 43,248 (64.85%) Leave maj 19,804 (29.69%) Electorate 85,788; Turnout 66,692 (77.74%)
Lancaster
Remain 35,732 (48.92%) Leave 37,309 (51.08%) Leave maj 1,577 (2.16%) Electorate 100,554; Turnout 73,041 (72.64%)
Newark and Sherwood
Remain 26,571 (39.61%) Leave 40,516 (60.39%) Leave maj 13,945 (20.79%) Electorate 87,322; Turnout 67,087 (76.83%)
South Holland
Remain 26,571 (39.61%) Leave 40,516 (60.39%) Leave maj 13,945 (20.79%) Electorate 87,322; Turnout 67,087 (76.83%)
Plymouth
Remain 53,458 (40.06%) Leave 79,997 (59.94%) Leave maj 26,539 (19.89%) Electorate 186,980; Turnout 133,455 (71.37%)
Blackburn with Darwen
Remain 28,522 (43.66%) Leave 36,799 (56.34%) Leave maj 8,277 (12.67%) Electorate 100,116; Turnout 65,321 (65.25%)
Tunbridge Wells
Remain 35,676 (54.86%) Leave 29,350 (45.14%) Remain maj 6,326 (9.73%) Electorate 82,178; Turnout 65,026 (79.13%)
Rushcliffe
Remain 40,522 (57.55%) Leave 29,888 (42.45%) Remain maj 10,634 (15.10%) Electorate 86,397; Turnout 70,410 (81.50%)
Hambleton
Remain 25,480 (46.34%) Leave 29,502 (53.66%) Leave maj 4,022 (7.32%) Electorate 70,139; Turnout 54,982 (78.39%)
Gravesham
Remain 18,876 (34.62%) Leave 35,643 (65.38%) Leave maj 16,767 (30.75%) Electorate 72,801; Turnout 54,519 (74.89%)
4.17am BST
04:17
Randeep Ramesh
Bristol voted strongly for staying in the EU, with remain getting more than 53,000 votes more than the leave camp.
In total, remain got 141,027 votes, more than 62% of the total cast, and leave 87,418. Sources in the leave camp say they were facing an uphill struggle as the city had been strongly leaning left, with the Greens campaigning hard. They also point out that the new mayor, Marvin Rees, had energised Labour voters. Remain supporters cheered the declaration but most left promptly – stunned by the nationwide results.
#bristol votes remain by 141027 leave 87418 pic.twitter.com/0hhYpU6G5f
4.16am BST
04:16
Farage welcomes 'victory for decent people'
This is what Nigel Farage said to his supporters. Just as he appeared to concede defeat prematurely at the start of the evening, he is now effectively declaring victory.
If the predications now are right this will be a victory for real people, a victory for ordinary people, a victory for decent people. We have fought against the multinationals, against the big merchant banks, against big politics, against lies against lies, corruption and deceit and today honesty and decency and belief in nation I think now is going to win.
We will have done it without having to fight, without a single bullet having been fired.
I hope this victory brings down this failed projects and brings us to a Europe of sovereign nation states trading together.
Let’s June the 23rd go down in our history as our independence day.
UpdatedUpdated
at 3.41am BST at 4.20am BST
3.33am BST 4.14am BST
03:33 04:14
And here is Nigel Farage on the Sheffield result. Libby Brooks
Sheffield votes to Leave EU. Amazing stuff. Delighted. The SNP’s Westminster leader, Angus Robertson, has told ITV news that the scenario whereby Scotland votes to remain but the rest of UK opts for Brexit will trigger a “constitutional crisis”.
And with all but two results now declared in Scotland – with remain so far winning in 30 of 32 council areas across the country – it is painfully obvious that the constituent parts of the UK have voted in very different directions.
Granted, the remain vote in Scotland has not been decisive across the country: in Moray, for example, remain scraped through with 50.1%. But this is precisely the scenario that Nicola Sturgeon has been warning of since the EU referendum was first tabled: Scotland being “dragged out of the EU against its will”.
The SNP’s manifesto was clear: this scenario represents a “material change” in circumstances that could trigger a second independence referendum.
In her interview with the Guardian earlier this week, Sturgeon set out the next steps:
If there’s a leave vote … then there will be things I’ll want to do very quickly to assert our ability to have a direct voice both with the UK government and with Europe.
But also our manifesto was very clear that the Scottish parliament should in these circumstances have the right to propose another referendum. Even if we don’t take the decision straightaway that it’s definitely happening in a particular timescale we’ll have to start doing certain things to keep that option open. It takes time to legislate for a referendum. So it’s going to be really important to make sure that every option that is available to Scotland to protect our position is kept open.
4.11am BST
04:11
In his address to supporters Nigel Farage said he and his supporters had taken back control of the country “without a shot being fired”. In the light of the killing of Jo Cox, this went down particularly badly in the remain camp, according to journalists.
This is from the Independent’s Jon Stone.
Absolute silence at Remain party as Nigel Farage comes on TV. Shouts of anger when he starts talking about 'victory for real people'
And this is from the BBC’s James Landale.
Shouts of "shame" & "that's disgusting" at Remain party when Nigel Farage said Leave had won the #euref "without a shot being fired"
UpdatedUpdated
at 3.33am BST at 4.18am BST
3.29am BST 4.07am BST
03:29 04:07
This is from the academic Matthew Goodwin. Holly Watt
Sheffield is 51% Leave. It was predicted to go Remain on 52% #euref Resounding win for leave in Clacton, Essex, with only 25,210 voting to remain, while 57,437 voted to get out of Europe.
And this is from the Spectator’s James Forsyth. Chris Griffiths, a councillor for the Conservatives, said it was turning into a great night. He said:
Am told ecstasy in Vote Leave office as Sheffield result came through, they think this really might be on The people have spoken and they’re saying it’s time to leave. There’s a lot of anger and disaffection in the area – they are fed up with Europe.
Sheffield result feels very significant, Remain are going to need mega blow outs in London to pull this out of the fire Ukip councillor Richard Everett said that Vote Leave had been very successful in getting out the vote:
We’ve done a much better job in our areas. I’ve been very pleased with this evening.
UpdatedUpdated
at 3.47am BST at 4.10am BST
3.29am BST 4.06am BST
03:29 04:06
Pound falls 6% This is from Sky’s Roddy Mansfield.
Jill Treanor Leave breaks through the 500,000 vote advantage over Remain.
The pound has hit a new low for the night at $1.3879, down 6%. 4.05am BST
Sterling is very volatile, said Jeremy Cook of World First, whose colleagues are starting to stream into the office. The mood is sober. The largest cause for the downswing in the pound is a prediction by ITV of a 75% chance of the UK leaving the EU. 04:05
3.27am BST Sterling dollar over the last 30 years .... pic.twitter.com/fFd7kUgzJG
03:27 "We are through 35" says Jeremy Cook at World First. The lowest since 1985. Happens as Nigel Farage appears on TV
3.24am BST
03:24
Labour party 'working to assumption leave will win'
The Labour party is now working on the assumption that leave will win, according to a party source. The view in Labour HQ is that, if Britain does vote to leave, Jeremy Corbyn should call on David Cameron to resign, but senior figures believe that that may prove unnecessary because Cameron may announce his departure of his own accord.
Updated
at 3.26am BST
3.20am BST
03:20
The market volatility continues:
We're back down again... pic.twitter.com/TxsgkeNdL6
Leave's lead grows to 176,888 and GBPUSD resumes it's slide, back down to 1.4225 from 1.4500 half an hour ago.