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EU referendum results live: pound plunges as first results come in EU referendum: pound plunges as first results point to Brexit – live
(35 minutes later)
1.33am BST 2.07am BST
01:33 02:07
The fall in the pound is the third biggest move on record, after the 2008 financial crisis and Black Wednesday when sterling left the Exchange Rate Mechanism:
Pound move at number 3 with a bullet.... pic.twitter.com/FOC9x2tKTw
1.33am BST
01:33
Chris Bryant says 'tosspot' Miliband to blame for state Labour is in
Labour figures are also attacking each other. Talking to guests at the Stronger In referendum party, Chris Bryant, the shadow leader of the Commons, denounced Ed Miliband when he saw the former party leader being interviewed on TV. He said:
I might go and punch him because he’s a tosspot and he left the party in the state it’s in.
1.31am BST
01:31
Henry McDonald
The turnout figures for the four Belfast constituencies are out and they show that unionist majority areas have voted significantly more than republican districts.
In republican West Belfast – a Sinn Féin stronghold – the turnout was 48%, an historic low compared to successive general and assembly elections. By contrast, the turnout in loyalist East Belfast was 66%, as it was in the more liberal South Belfast constituency. In North Belfast, where there is a sizeable republican and nationalist population, the turnout was 57%.
This reflects a trend across Northern Ireland where unionists, especially working-class loyalists, appear more animated about EU-related issues – most notably on immigration – compared to working-class republicans and nationalists. Lee Reynolds, of the leave campaign, was clearly correct in terms of his analysis of working-class loyalism and this referendum: they came out to vote in unprecedented numbers.
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01:30
You can always tell who is losing on an election night - it’s the side where they start blaming each other. Earlier, when it looked good for remain, we saw Vote Leave have a go at Nigel Farage.
But now the recriminations are breaking out on the remain side, where Labour is blaming the government. This is from a party source.
A significant minority of Labour voters have undoubtedly voted for Leave. After David Cameron and the Tories made this a referendum on them and their leadership, many of the areas hardest hit by this government’s unfair policies like Sunderland have taken the opportunity this referendum as a means to kick a Conservative government that is out of touch.
This was a vote against a government that has failed to rebalance the economy, and has failed to deliver the Northern Powerhouse that it keeps promising.
Our private polling has consistently shown from the beginning of the campaign that about two thirds of Labour voters supported remain and we expect that to be borne out in the results. A clear majority of Labour voters support remaining in Europe, unlike Tory voters.
And this is from the Sunday Times’s Tim Shipman.
Remain camp already eating each other. Angela Eagle slagging off govt. You can bet Dave will blame Labour if this goes wrong.
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01:26
This is from the Guardian’s diplomatic editor Patrick Wintour:
Hartlepool ex seat of Lord Mandelson & key Remain figure, gone 70 to 30 for Leave. Project Fear cut no ice.
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01:24
Gibraltar announces before Sunderland. A rock beats a hard place.
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01:23
Scottish Labour leader Kezia Dugdale believes Edinburgh is ‘overwhelmingly in support of remain’.
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Steven MorrisSteven Morris
In Cardiff, the Plaid Cymru leader, Leanne Wood, is concerned that the vote is going to be very close in Wales. She said places that have suffered economically through austerity seem to be those that are voting out. Leanne Wood, the leader of Plaid Cymru, has said the leave vote – which is looking very strong in Wales – was an attack on the establishment. She also said that if the UK does leave the EU it could provide opportunities for Plaid, whose ultimate aim is independence for Wales.
Plaid Cymru leader Leanne Wood at the count in Cardiff. pic.twitter.com/MMFo9pWvJ5 Speaking at the count in Cardiff, she told the Guardian: “It’s looking as though those areas where there are greatest areas of deprivation and poverty, those areas which are receiving the most amount of money from EU funds are the areas where people are voting in the greatest number to leave.
1.19am BST “I’m of the view it’s austerity that is at the root of the problem here. People want change and they’ve seen this as an opportunity to get the change they want.”
01:19 Asked if a leave vote would boost Plaid’s aim of independence, Wood said it would provide an opportunity for the nationalists. “I’ve said all along it was in Wales’s best interest to stay in the European Union but you must always look for opportunities.”
These are from Matthew Goodwin, the academic and Ukip expert. Leanne Wood suggests that a Leave vote in Wales would be a protest against austerity. https://t.co/WgtiyIAez8
Kettering expected to be 59-41 for Leave. Actual result 61-39. A tad over expectations for Remain #euref @CaitlinMilazzo 2.05am BST
Kettering is another area where Leave is delivering a bit more punch than academic models suggest #euref 02:05
....wondering what message voters will send to Labour from the other northern heartlands.... #euref Leave is first to pass one million votes
Shetland Islands Remain 56.5, Leave 43.5. Predicted Remain 63% leave 37% #euref Claire Phipps
1.16am BST The leave side was the first to break through the one-million vote mark – though remain was not far behind.
01:16 With 34 authorities declared:
John Curtice, the elections expert who is number-crunching for the BBC, also has leave as favourite to win on the basis of the results we have now. Some 16.8 million votes will be needed overall to secure victory, so it is still very early. But leave will be cheered by that symbolic moment.
John Curtice: At the moment at least the Leave side are favourites to win this Referendum - but there is still a very long way to go. #EUref Related: EU referendum result: what we know so far
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02:05
Leave have now got more than 1m votes, the BBC is reporting.
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02:05
Here are some more results.
Brentwood
Remain 19,077 (40.85%) Leave 27,627 (59.15%) Leave maj 8,550 (18.31%) Electorate 58,777; Turnout 46,704 (79.46%)
Flintshire
Remain 37,867 (43.63%) Leave 48,930 (56.37%) Leave maj 11,063 (12.75%) Electorate 115,954; Turnout 86,797 (74.85%)
Middlesbrough
Remain 21,181 (34.52%) Leave 40,177 (65.48%) Leave maj 18,996 (30.96%) Electorate 94,610; Turnout 61,358 (64.85%)
Weymouth and Portland
Remain 14,903 (38.96%) Leave 23,352 (61.04%) Leave maj 8,449 (22.09%) Electorate 50,441; Turnout 38,255 (75.84%)
Inverclyde
Remain 24,688 (63.80%) Leave 14,010 (36.20%) Remain maj 10,678 (27.59%) Electorate 58,624; Turnout 38,698 (66.01%)
Renfrewshire
Remain 57,119 (64.81%) Leave 31,010 (35.19%) Remain maj 26,109 (29.63%) Electorate 127,290; Turnout 88,129 (69.23%)
Midlothian
Remain 28,217 (62.06%) Leave 17,251 (37.94%) Remain maj 10,966 (24.12%) Electorate 66,757; Turnout 45,468 (68.11%)
Merthyr Tydfil
Remain 12,574 (43.56%) Leave 16,291 (56.44%) Leave maj 3,717 (12.88%) Electorate 42,854; Turnout 28,865 (67.36%)
Stockton-on-Tees
Remain 38,433 (38.27%) Leave 61,982 (61.73%) Leave maj 23,549 (23.45%) Electorate 141,486; Turnout 100,415 (70.97%)
2.04am BST
02:04
Westminster has voted to remain:
UpdatedUpdated
at 1.18am BST at 2.08am BST
1.14am BST 2.02am BST
01:14 02:02
The University of East Anglia is running a referendum live blog. It has been crunching the numbers and, on the basis of the first five results, is forecasting a narrow win for leave. The Remain camp’s lead in the results so far seems to have filtered through to Japan. After early gains the Nikkei 225 has slipped into negative territory, down 0.38%.
Predicted probability of Britain remaining: 0.48 And in the US, the S&P 500 is currently forecast to open down around 0.8%.
(5 of 382 areas reporting.)
Predicted vote share for remain: 49.8%.
(90% prediction interval: 42.7% to 56.8%)
UpdatedUpdated
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1.11am BST 1.56am BST
01:11 01:56
With surprises in Newcastle and Sunderland, the Guardian’s Anushka Asthana summarises the EU referendum results night so far. Basildon in Essex votes to leave the EU:
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01:11 01:56
This is from Caitlin Milazzo, an academic and Ukip expert. Labour is also blaming the SNP for remain’s relative lack of success. This is from a party source.
Kettering - Forecast #Brexit vote 59%, UKIP 2014 EP vote 36%, Actual vote share 61% #EURef Turnout in Scotland has been considerably lower than expected. The SNP, the dominant party which ran huge campaigns for the independence referendum, UK election and Scottish elections, has run a lacklustre campaign with minimal ground activity.
1.09am BST Sturgeon had more to say about criticising the remain camp than making the positive case for Europe and she was nowhere to be seen until the dying days of the campaign.
01:09
Prof John Curtice has told the BBC that turnout in London seems to be 2 or 3% lower than expected, based on figures in so far. That might be the result of terrible rain we had in the capital. If so, this is bad for remain, which counts London as a stronghold.
UpdatedUpdated
at 1.12am BST at 2.04am BST
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01:07 01:56
Stock markets have started to open in Asia and in Japan the Nikkei 225 is currently up 0.65%. The Ukip MEP David Coburn was in an optimistic mood in Glasgow, saying “it’ll be Ukip what won it” if leave comes out as victorious.
But the UK futures are now suggesting the FTSE 100 will open around 1.9% lower. Updated
at 1.58am BST
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01:52
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01:52
And the Basildon result is in.
Leave: 67,251 (68.6%)
Remain: 30,748 (31.4%)
But leave were expected to do well here. According to the Hanretty chart, it is the 13th most pro-Brexit place in the UK.
1.51am BST
01:51
Josh Halliday
Bridget Phillipson, the Labour MP for Houghton and Sunderland South, said she knew the pro-EU campaign faced an uphill struggle in the north-east: “There’s huge anger that time and again our region is left behind when it comes to jobs and investment. We don’t get what we need from the Tory government – people feel like they continue to be kicked.
“The reason I campaigned so strongly for remain is that I believe our region will be the hardest hit if we leave the European Union.”
Bridget Phillipson MP on Sunderland #EUref vote https://t.co/xj1RE9kafq via @audioBoom
Richard Elvin, the ex-Ukip councillor who coordinated the Vote Leave campaign in Sunderland, said he was “absolutely elated” at the result and that it would have “huge consequences” for Labour in the north-east.
“Voters made a big statement saying we’re sick to death of politics as it is. Sick to death of being told what’s good for us. It could change the political landscape,” he said.
Elvin, a former Ukip parliamentary candidate, said the result showed Labour’s three pro-EU Sunderland MPs as “completely out of touch with the electorate”.
Julie Elliott, the Labour MP for Sunderland South, said the strength of the leave vote in the city “highlights the disparity of feeling around the country” between strongly Eurosceptic areas and pro-EU regions.
“Some people are feeling really vulnerable at the moment and the north-east is being really hard hit by the cuts – massive, massive cuts to the local authorities, health services and people are feeling very, very vulnerable,” she said.
Updated
at 2.03am BST
1.47am BST
01:47
The Hartlepool result is in, and leave got 70% - more than expected. This is from the academic Caitlin Milazzo.
Hartlepool - Forecast #Brexit vote 61% ,UKIP 2014 EP vote 39%, Actual vote share 70% #EURef
1.44am BST
01:44
Perhaps Lindsay Lohan has been one of those using Google. (See 1.43pm.)
#REMAIN Sorry, but #KETTERING where are you&why is this woman @BBCNews speaking on people rather than TELLING us what happens if UK LEAVES?