This article is from the source 'guardian' and was first published or seen on . It last changed over 40 days ago and won't be checked again for changes.

You can find the current article at its original source at http://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-result-live-counting-leave-remain-brain-in-europe

The article has changed 28 times. There is an RSS feed of changes available.

Version 2 Version 3
EU referendum results: 84 pro-Brexit tories back Cameron as counting begins – live EU referendum results: 84 pro-Brexit tories back Cameron as counting begins – live
(35 minutes later)
11.49pm BST
23:49
This is from the BBC’s Nick Eardley.
Vote Leave source says samples so far in Glasgow and Falkirk better than expected for them #EUref
11.46pm BST
23:46
Henry McDonald
Alasdair McDonnell, the SDLP MP for South Belfast, has told the Guardian the turnout in his constituency is “touching” 70%. The Social Democratic and Labour party MP said he is hoping in Northern Ireland the final vote could be 60-40 for remain.
Speaking inside the Titanic visitor centre, where the votes from the four Belfast constituencies are being counted, McDonnell said the SDLP wanted “to avoid turning the referendum into a traditional Orange versus Green contest”. He added: “We wanted this to be a civic campaign that cut across the traditional political divide. We had good meetings with the the Ulster Unionists and a pro EU business breakfast. The remain vote is a cross community vote.”
He declined to speculate on the future of the pro-Brexit Northern Ireland secretary Theresa Villiers, who has conceded defeat on Sky News.
11.46pm BST
23:46
On Sky News Nigel Farage has just given what sounded a bit like a concession speech (even though he insisted that was not what it was.) I will post the key quotes in a moment.
11.43pm BST
23:43
The first result is in, from Gibraltar. It is a massive vote for Remain.
Remain: 19,322
Leave: 823
Remain were always going to do well in Gibraltar. Gibraltarians worry that, if the UK were to leave the EU, crossing the border into Spain would become much more difficult - a vital issue for the many people who need to cross it every day.
11.41pm BST
23:41
Ben Quinn
Douglas Carswell, Ukip’s only MP, has fired yet another coded salvo at the leader of his own party, emphasising that he would like to see a party after the referendum that was “optimistic” about change and not go back to the 1950s.
Asked what the future of Ukip would be if the referendum result was for remain, he said he believed there would be many people after the campaign “in all parties” who perhaps feel that the leaders of their parties “have more in common” with each other than with ordinary people.
“They perhaps feel that the leaders of their parties on the issue of Europe and many other things have more in common with one another in Westminster than they do with ordinary folk across the country,” Carswell told the BBC.
The MP has frequently clashed with Farage in the past and at one point last year called on him to resign in order to draw a line under its image.
“I think many people will conclude that politics is a cartel and that we need to break that cartel and we need new upstart parties like Ukip to break that cartel. If Ukip is an optimistic party that wants change and that looks to reshape the country for 2030, 2040, not go back to 1950, we can be that change.”
Updated
at 11.45pm BST
11.37pm BST
23:37
Helena Bengtsson
Contrary to what you may think the UK may not be the most Eurosceptic of the EU’s member states. Helena Bengtsson has this:
Despite Britain teetering on the edge of Brexit, polling suggests it may not be the most Eurosceptic state in the EU. A poll of 10,000 Europeans across 10 countries by Pew Research earlier this year found that a majority of people felt unfavourably towards the union in both Greece (71%) and France (61%). Spain also had a higher proportion of unfavourable people (49%) than the UK (48%) did.
Related: Is Britain the most Eurosceptic country?
11.37pm BST
23:37
This is from Sky’s data expert Harry Carr.
Turnout so far suggests overall turnout of roughly 70% - winning line therefore roughly 16.25 million votes
The general election turnout was 66%.
11.34pm BST
23:34
This is from the Conservative MSP Annie Wells, who is close to Ruth Davidson.
@libby_brooks @_PaulMonaghan I still think it's going be that old chestnut 55% v 45% for remain
11.31pm BST
23:31
11.30pm BST
23:30
Douglas Carswell, the Ukip MP, told the BBC that Leave have done well even if they do not leave.
Who would have thought, after everything that has been thrown at the leave campaign – taxpayer-funded propaganda and the rest of it – that it would be this close.
I think it has been an extraordinary campaign and I think Vote Leave has done incredibly well to narrow the gap and reduce the lead, perhaps not quite enough, but perhaps they have done enough.
Updated
at 11.32pm BST
11.28pm BST
23:28
But Matthew Goodwin, the academic and Ukip expert, has heard different figures for Sunderland.
Sunderland expected early. Forecast Brexit vote 53%. Ukip polled 30% here in 2014. Median income only £19,000 #euref #LSEBrexitVote
That would be roughly in line with the Hanretty expectations (see 10.12pm), pointing to a very close result nationwide.
11.27pm BST
23:27
Peter Walker
Friday’s UK newspapers showed two different approaches: either risk hinting at the result or else talk about the subject in much more general terms.
The Sun took the bolder option, its “Brex Mad” headline talking about the high turnout but then adding at the top, “Farage concedes to remain”.
Friday's Sun front page:Brex Mad#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #EUref pic.twitter.com/3CdofAcooB
Metro took a similar approach, leading on Farage’s apparent concession.
Updated Metro front page:Farage: I think it's all over#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #EUref pic.twitter.com/lMMKh2RLSr
The Times, meanwhile, played it fairly safe for a first edition, merely noting the closeness of the race.
Friday's Times front page:Closest call for Britain#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #EUref pic.twitter.com/I4OhWIJtH3
The Daily Telegraph focused on the aftermath, and a letter from 84 pro-Brexit Tory MPs calling for David Cameron to stay.
Friday's Telegraph front page:Brexit MPs pledge loyalty to PM#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #EUref pic.twitter.com/PG9iSHi4bn
The Guardian and Mirror, by contrast, talk of a wider need to heal and reunite, both as a nation and with the EU.
Friday's Guardian:Party leaders reach out to dividednation after bitter EU referendum#tomorrowspaperstoday #EUref pic.twitter.com/wkptH9w3hQ
Friday's Daily Mirror front page:Project Reunite#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #EUref pic.twitter.com/s21zUqAk2I
The Daily Mail goes somewhat off-piste, calling investment bankers “parasites” for, um, doing what they do every single day, which is to speculate on how world events could move markets.
Friday's Daily Mail front page:The £100bn parasite bankers#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #EUref pic.twitter.com/OXShDSXvhK
The Financial Times also leads on the markets, though is understandably a bit less shocked.
Friday's FT:City watchdogs on high alert over expected post-poll trading frenzy#tomorrowspaperstoday #EUref pic.twitter.com/YXJm47nOVu
Only the Morning Star, so far, has veered from the EU line, with a story about foreign aid and private health companies.
Friday's Morning Star:Foreign aid cash lines pockets of health privateers#Tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/FSR4l8fUh4
11.21pm BST
23:21
Here is more from tonight’s YouGov poll.
Dis-United Kingdom? @YouGov's On-the-Day poll demonstrates how groups in society have such differing views on #EURef pic.twitter.com/lAoeamMtLe
Our On-the-Day poll shows challenge facing leaders. Majority of Con and nearly third of Lab voters support Leave. pic.twitter.com/ZHNNG8aZV5
11.18pm BST
23:18
Andrew Sparrow
This is from the Mail on Sunday’s Dan Hodges.
If the sampling from Sunderland is correct, Remain have won. And by a good margin.
This is significant because, according to Professor Chris Hanretty’s data (see 10.12pm), Sunderland is an area where, if Remain and Leave are 50/50 nationwide, Leave should be six points ahead (because it is inherently more pro-Brexit).
Here is an extract from Hanretty’s blog.
If the result in Sunderland is very close, then Remain has probably won. I said that we should expect Leave to be six percentage points ahead in Sunderland.
Updated
at 11.22pm BST
11.15pm BST
23:15
Randeep Ramesh
Ballot boxes arrive in Bristol. Although the city was supposed to be one of the last to count votes at 6am, the Guardian has been told that it was likely to be earlier. Expect a vote from the supposedly pro-remain citadel by 4am.
#Bristol #EUref ballot boxes arrive pic.twitter.com/jmKCb4zyAc
11.13pm BST11.13pm BST
23:1323:13
This is from the pollster Deborah Mattinson.This is from the pollster Deborah Mattinson.
Kettering turnout 76% - much higher than GE2015 if true.,,Kettering turnout 76% - much higher than GE2015 if true.,,
Updated
at 11.30pm BST
11.12pm BST11.12pm BST
23:1223:12
This is from the BBC’s Emma Simpson.This is from the BBC’s Emma Simpson.
Sounds like a big turnout for both City of London and Westminster counts. As high as 82% and the Remain camp in confident mood.Sounds like a big turnout for both City of London and Westminster counts. As high as 82% and the Remain camp in confident mood.
11.10pm BST
23:10
Pro-Brexit Theresa Villiers says she thinks Remain have won
Theresa Villiers, the Northern Ireland secretary and one of the pro-Brexit cabinet ministers, has just told Sky News:
My instinct is that Remain have won.
11.08pm BST
23:08
Andrew Sparrow
This is from Sky’s Faisal Islam.
IN sources say two late poll shifts: 1. status quo reversion on economy 2. Core Labour Remain turnout soars on revulsion at Leave tactics
“Revulsion of leave tactics” is probably a reference to Nigel Farage’s “Breaking Point” poster, which may explain why people in the Vote Leave camp (which is not linked to Ukip) are so angry with Farage. (See 10.55pm.)
Updated
at 11.09pm BST
11.08pm BST
23:08
Josh Halliday
Sunderland is once again vying to be the first to declare its result – and expecting a high turnout. About 45% of the city’s 207,207 voters do so by postal vote. We’re told that a significant number of those votes had been cast by yesterday; and 78% of the postal vote was returned – one of highest on record. So if that is matched by voters in the polling booth then the turnout here could be very high indeed.
They're just showing off now #EUref #sunderland #alwaysfirst pic.twitter.com/2YIOox9l4l
Updated
at 11.13pm BST
11.07pm BST
23:07
Nick Fletcher
The pound has hit another new high for the year (the highest since December in fact) of $1.5018. Here’s how it spiked after the polls closed:
Kathleen Brooks, research director at City Index, said: “While we expect further upside for the pound if the unofficial exit poll is correct and remain have won the referendum, the focus in the markets could shift to the margin of victory. An 8% margin of victory, as suggested by the Ipsos Mori poll, would probably be considered a big enough margin to put the Brexit issue to bed for many years, which could give a substantial boost to risky assets in the coming hours. However, anything below a 5% margin may not be considered wide enough to reduce Brexit uncertainty, which could limit enthusiasm for a pound and risk rally.”
Updated
at 11.13pm BST
11.03pm BST
23:03
Steven Morris
The BBC’s Mark Hutchings has tweeted the latest on postal votes from Flintshire in north Wales:
86 per cent of postal votes sent out in Flintshire have been returned - the highest on record. #bbceuref
Updated
at 11.10pm BST
11.03pm BST
23:03
This is from Peter Spiegel, the FT’s news editor.
Sources briefed on hedge fund exit polls told me they had similar 52-48 result for Remain as of late afternoon https://t.co/fWk5qpoqSz
11.01pm BST
23:01
Mark Tran
Mark Tran is in Wandsworth, where the postal vote turnout was 83.6% as of 9pm – 47,510 sent out and 39,717 returned. He has also tweeted a picture from the count:
Emptying ballot boxes in Wandsworth as the count picks up momentum #EUreferendum pic.twitter.com/zORkNGKG0w
11.00pm BST
23:00
This is from Ipsos MORI’s Bobby Duffy.
Our polling over final days: 51% Remain on Tues, 54% on Weds and 54% again on polling day #EUref pic.twitter.com/P50BzjAevO
10.59pm BST
22:59
Ipsos MORI poll gives remain an 8-point lead
Ipsos MORI have released some new polling figures. These are from a poll that finished today.
Ipsos MORI (#EUref on the day):REMAIN 54 (+2)LEAVE 46 (-2)Changes vs earlier today*** ALSO NOT AN EXIT POLL ***#Brexit #EUreferendum
Updated
at 11.10pm BST
10.56pm BST
22:56
Counting has started in Birmingham and London. Don’t know when results will come in? Here’s our handy guide to give you all the details.