This article is from the source 'guardian' and was first published or seen on . It last changed over 40 days ago and won't be checked again for changes.

You can find the current article at its original source at http://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-result-live-counting-leave-remain-brain-in-europe

The article has changed 28 times. There is an RSS feed of changes available.

Version 11 Version 12
EU referendum results: Nigel Farage declares 'independence day' – live EU referendum results: Farage declares 'independence day' as UK votes to leave– live
(35 minutes later)
4.29am BST 5.04am BST
04:29 05:04
Steven Morris Simon Goodley
In Wales 21 of 22 results have been declared – 17 for leave, four for remain. Running totals in Wales are 52.9% for leave and 47.1% for remain. Only Gwynedd to go. Wales is very much out. There’s a state of shock in the City this morning, as investors digest the news that Britain appears to have voted to leave the European Union.
Julie Morgan, Labour assembly member for Cardiff North and the wife of former first minister Rhodri Morgan, welcomed a win for remain in the capital. But she said her party needed to analyse why its heartland seats in the valleys and in cities like Swansea and Newport had voted to leave. Markets had rallied yesterday on expectations that the Remain side would win, so traders are now facing the prospect of a huge selloff this morning.
4.28am BST Over on IG’s trading floor, chief market analyst Chris Beauchamp says:
04:28 “We’re seeing an unraveling of positions now that clearly shows that financial markets were heavily weighted one side. The financial markets looked at the polls and the betting markets - all the information available.
Massive losses expected when London stock market opens They suggested it would be close but history suggests that undecideds tend to go with the status quo. We’re now seeing highly volatile financial markets. We’ve had the worst night for the pound since the financial crisis.”
5.01am BST
05:01
Libby Brooks
Commenting on the result of the EU referendum in Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon said:
Scotland has delivered a strong, unequivocal vote to remain in the EU, and I welcome that endorsement of our European status. And while the overall result remains to be declared, the vote here makes clear that the people of Scotland see their future as part of the European Union.
Scotland has contributed significantly to the remain vote across the UK. That reflects the positive campaign the SNP fought, which highlighted the gains and benefits of our EU membership, and people across Scotland have responded to that positive message. We await the final UK-wide result, but Scotland has spoken – and spoken decisively.
4.59am BST
04:59
A Canadian MP is urging the Canadian government to prioritise a UK-Canada trade deal.
Canada should immediately demonstrate respect for the choice made by the British people, & prioritize negotiation of Canada-UK free trade.
4.59am BST
04:59
Graeme WeardenGraeme Wearden
City traders are bracing for a massive selloff when the London stock market opens at 8am. Asian stock markets are already being routed, as traders watch events unfold in the UK.
The futures market is indicating that the FTSE 100 index of blue-chip shares will plunge by 480 points, a drop of around 7.5%. Japan’s Nikkei index has slumped by 7%, a loss of over 1,100 points. That is its worst one-day fall since March 2011, when Fukushima was hit by a devastating earthquake that trigged a tsunami and a nuclear disaster.
That would wipe around £120bn off the Footsie, which is home to many of Britain’s biggest companies. 4.56am BST
You can track it on IG’s website. 04:56
Shares in banking giant HSBC have already plunged by 8% in Hong Kong (its shares are listed there, and in London). We’ve had 319 out of 382 results in now. Here are the figures.
4.27am BST Areas
04:27 Remain: 102
Here are some more results. Leave: 217
South Staffordshire Votes
Remain 23,444 (35.15%) Leave 43,248 (64.85%) Leave maj 19,804 (29.69%) Electorate 85,788; Turnout 66,692 (77.74%) Remain: 12,991,972 (48.4%)
Lancaster Leave: 13,842,109 (51.6%)
Remain 35,732 (48.92%) Leave 37,309 (51.08%) Leave maj 1,577 (2.16%) Electorate 100,554; Turnout 73,041 (72.64%) 4.51am BST
Newark and Sherwood 04:51
Remain 26,571 (39.61%) Leave 40,516 (60.39%) Leave maj 13,945 (20.79%) Electorate 87,322; Turnout 67,087 (76.83%) Stephen Crabb, the work and pensions secretary, has said the government failed to get its message across to the white working class.
South Holland I just think there is a disconnect with the white working class. We didn’t get our core messages across to them.
Remain 26,571 (39.61%) Leave 40,516 (60.39%) Leave maj 13,945 (20.79%) Electorate 87,322; Turnout 67,087 (76.83%) When we tried to explain to them just how important the European Single Market was to their jobs, their livelihoods, we didn’t quite land those messages successfully.
Plymouth And I think that is one of the themes that is emerging this evening is that old industrial white working class areas clearly haven’t bought the message that we have tried hard to communicate.
Remain 53,458 (40.06%) Leave 79,997 (59.94%) Leave maj 26,539 (19.89%) Electorate 186,980; Turnout 133,455 (71.37%) He also said it was “absolutely essential” that Cameron remains as prime minister.
Blackburn with Darwen There isn’t anybody else around the cabinet table or outside the cabinet, for that matter, or in any of the other political parties who can give this country the kind of leadership skills and abilities that David Cameron can at this, what is going to be very challenging weeks and months for the country.
Remain 28,522 (43.66%) Leave 36,799 (56.34%) Leave maj 8,277 (12.67%) Electorate 100,116; Turnout 65,321 (65.25%) 4.46am BST
Tunbridge Wells 04:46
Remain 35,676 (54.86%) Leave 29,350 (45.14%) Remain maj 6,326 (9.73%) Electorate 82,178; Turnout 65,026 (79.13%) Chuka Umunna, the London Labour MP, said that the referendum result highlighted “particular issues” for the Labour Party adding:
Rushcliffe I don’t actually think for a lot of our supporters and voters sovereignty was quite the issue that immigration became. Why did it become such an overwhelming issue in spite of all the warnings of the experts? A lot of people said that you are saying this about the economy but we don’t actually feel we have a lot from that economy for the moment.
Remain 40,522 (57.55%) Leave 29,888 (42.45%) Remain maj 10,634 (15.10%) Electorate 86,397; Turnout 70,410 (81.50%) 4.41am BST
Hambleton 04:41
Remain 25,480 (46.34%) Leave 29,502 (53.66%) Leave maj 4,022 (7.32%) Electorate 70,139; Turnout 54,982 (78.39%) BBC says leave has won
Gravesham The BBC has also called it for leave.
Remain 18,876 (34.62%) Leave 35,643 (65.38%) Leave maj 16,767 (30.75%) Electorate 72,801; Turnout 54,519 (74.89%) They are forecasting a four-point leave victory, 52% to 48%.
4.17am BST We're calling it - We're out
04:17
Randeep Ramesh
Bristol voted strongly for staying in the EU, with remain getting more than 53,000 votes more than the leave camp.
In total, remain got 141,027 votes, more than 62% of the total cast, and leave 87,418. Sources in the leave camp say they were facing an uphill struggle as the city had been strongly leaning left, with the Greens campaigning hard. They also point out that the new mayor, Marvin Rees, had energised Labour voters. Remain supporters cheered the declaration but most left promptly – stunned by the nationwide results.
#bristol votes remain by 141027 leave 87418 pic.twitter.com/0hhYpU6G5f
4.16am BST
04:16
Farage welcomes 'victory for decent people'
This is what Nigel Farage said to his supporters. Just as he appeared to concede defeat prematurely at the start of the evening, he is now effectively declaring victory.
If the predications now are right this will be a victory for real people, a victory for ordinary people, a victory for decent people. We have fought against the multinationals, against the big merchant banks, against big politics, against lies against lies, corruption and deceit and today honesty and decency and belief in nation I think now is going to win.
We will have done it without having to fight, without a single bullet having been fired.
I hope this victory brings down this failed projects and brings us to a Europe of sovereign nation states trading together.
Let’s June the 23rd go down in our history as our independence day.
UpdatedUpdated
at 4.20am BST at 4.43am BST
4.14am BST 4.39am BST
04:14 04:39
Libby Brooks ITV says leave have won
The SNP’s Westminster leader, Angus Robertson, has told ITV news that the scenario whereby Scotland votes to remain but the rest of UK opts for Brexit will trigger a “constitutional crisis”. ITV are calling it for leave.
And with all but two results now declared in Scotland – with remain so far winning in 30 of 32 council areas across the country – it is painfully obvious that the constituent parts of the UK have voted in very different directions. ITV CALLS LEAVE WIN#EUref #Brexit
Granted, the remain vote in Scotland has not been decisive across the country: in Moray, for example, remain scraped through with 50.1%. But this is precisely the scenario that Nicola Sturgeon has been warning of since the EU referendum was first tabled: Scotland being “dragged out of the EU against its will”. Only Robert Peston, ITV’s political editor, got his tweet wrong.
The SNP’s manifesto was clear: this scenario represents a “material change” in circumstances that could trigger a second independence referendum. ITV News calls Remain victory by 52% to 48%. It's done.
In her interview with the Guardian earlier this week, Sturgeon set out the next steps: (It’s been a long night.)
If there’s a leave vote … then there will be things I’ll want to do very quickly to assert our ability to have a direct voice both with the UK government and with Europe. 4.38am BST
But also our manifesto was very clear that the Scottish parliament should in these circumstances have the right to propose another referendum. Even if we don’t take the decision straightaway that it’s definitely happening in a particular timescale we’ll have to start doing certain things to keep that option open. It takes time to legislate for a referendum. So it’s going to be really important to make sure that every option that is available to Scotland to protect our position is kept open. 04:38
4.11am BST Matthew Weaver
04:11 Liam Fox, the former defence secretary and leave campaigner, says David Cameron has a duty to stay on as prime minister to see Britain through the “turbulence” that a vote to leave the EU will bring.
In his address to supporters Nigel Farage said he and his supporters had taken back control of the country “without a shot being fired”. In the light of the killing of Jo Cox, this went down particularly badly in the remain camp, according to journalists. Speaking to Sky News he also suggested Ukip should now disband. On the the prime minister’s future Fox said:
This is from the Independent’s Jon Stone. I think he should stay because there is clearly going to be some short-term turbulence, we have seen that in the markets tonight, although one might ask why they weren’t better prepared for the possibility of a Brexit vote. As the prime minister that gave us the referendum he is best placed to see us through. As prime minister of the coalition he showed that he had the skills to be able keep very disparate groups together.
Absolute silence at Remain party as Nigel Farage comes on TV. Shouts of anger when he starts talking about 'victory for real people' That’s a prime minister who understands the sense of duty of taking the thing through to its conclusion. It would be quite wrong, and against his character, just to say, ‘I lost the referendum therefore I’m going.’ There’s a duty to take that process through to a logical conclusion. I hope that’s what we do.
And this is from the BBC’s James Landale. On Ukip, Fox said:
Shouts of "shame" & "that's disgusting" at Remain party when Nigel Farage said Leave had won the #euref "without a shot being fired" What Ukip does now is up to them. Most rational people would say, ‘They have actually served their purpose. They set out to have a referendum and to get Britain to leave the European Union. That has been fulfilled. What’s the point of Ukip in the future? Every voter should be asking their member of parliament, ‘Will you stand by the verdict of the British people?’ Because that is what a democracy is.
4.33am BST
04:33
Leave set to win with 52%, according to latest Sky forecast
Here is the lastest forecast from Michael Thrasher, the psephologist who is doing the numbers for Sky.
LAtest MIchael Thrasher forecast model - Leave lead trimmed... 52% Leave - 48% Remain
Prof. Michael Thrasher says on Sky News that there is now a 70-80% change of the United Kingdom voting to Leave.
UpdatedUpdated
at 4.18am BST at 4.35am BST
4.07am BST 4.31am BST
04:07 04:31
Holly Watt Ben Quinn
Resounding win for leave in Clacton, Essex, with only 25,210 voting to remain, while 57,437 voted to get out of Europe. Chuka Umunna, the London Labour MP, hit back at the language being used by Nigel Farage in his victory speech (see 4.16am), telling the BBC:
Chris Griffiths, a councillor for the Conservatives, said it was turning into a great night. He said: When [Farage] gets up and says this is a victory for decent, for honest, real ordinary people, that tends to suggest that all the people who have just voted for us to stay don’t fit into that category.
The people have spoken and they’re saying it’s time to leave. There’s a lot of anger and disaffection in the area – they are fed up with Europe. The challenge for us as policymakers is how do we knit together our society after that division.
Ukip councillor Richard Everett said that Vote Leave had been very successful in getting out the vote:
We’ve done a much better job in our areas. I’ve been very pleased with this evening.
UpdatedUpdated
at 4.10am BST at 4.35am BST
4.06am BST
04:06
This is from Sky’s Roddy Mansfield.
Leave breaks through the 500,000 vote advantage over Remain.
4.05am BST
04:05
Sterling dollar over the last 30 years .... pic.twitter.com/fFd7kUgzJG
"We are through 35" says Jeremy Cook at World First. The lowest since 1985. Happens as Nigel Farage appears on TV