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EU referendum: pound plunges after strong Brexit vote leaves UK on knife-edge – live EU referendum results: Labour 'working to assumption leave will win' – live coverage
(35 minutes later)
3.19am BST 3.53am BST
03:19 03:53
Curtice not calling it, BUT says Leave now are favourites Remain source says it looks 'very tough from here'
3.13am BST 3.52am BST
03:13 03:52
On the BBC, asked if he thinks David Cameron should stay on if leave win, the veteran Conservative Eurosceptic Sir Bill Cash says whoever is prime minister will have to be “completely committed to Brexit”. He says that is vital because the EU withdrawal negotiations will have to led by Number 10. Cameron will have to resign if Britain votes for Brexit, says Benn
3.11am BST Hilary Benn, the shadow foreign secretary, has said David Cameron will have to resign if the UK votes to leave.
03:11 If there were to be a vote to Leave, then as far as the Prime Minister is concerned I don’t see how he is going to remain in his job for very long at all.
This is from Peter Murrell, the SNP’s chief executive. I think it’s very hard for him in those circumstances to remain. If you are the prime minister, you’ve called this referendum, you’ve laid your reputation on the line and your arguments, I think it’s going to be very hard.
02h50: Remain now has over 1 million votes in Scotland. With just 8 results to go, the map is turning bright yellow pic.twitter.com/clL4W8iqLE 3.51am BST
3.09am BST 03:51
03:09 Henry McDonald
Peter Kellner, the former YouGov president who was predicting a remain win (see 10.15pm), has changed his mind. Ian Paisley Jr, the North Antrim MP, has predicted that a Brexit vote would increase the Democratic Unionist party’s influence in the House of Commons due to the likely chaos within the Tory ranks.
Seems we are heading for result bad for UK, bad for pollsters and (least important) embarrassing for me Paisley, whose firebrand father Ian represented the constituency for decades, said if some Tory MPs withdraw their support for the government, “this is where the DUP will come in and be more influential. It means we can extract more for Northern Ireland with our 8 MPs.”
Overall it appears that Northern Ireland – unlike Wales a pro-remain region, with at least around 56% of the electorate voting to stay in the EU.
3.46am BST
03:46
Sterling's 8% fall is biggest ever one-day move
Nick Fletcher
The pound is now down 8% at $1.36, its biggest ever one-day move (it swung by 7% in 2008).
The falls have accelerated as Sheffield unexpectedly backed leave and ITV put an 80% chance on leave winning the vote.
UpdatedUpdated
at 3.11am BST at 3.49am BST
3.03am BST 3.46am BST
03:03 03:46
Here is another slab of results. After 167 results, out of 382, here are the latest figures.
Lincoln It is the vote figures that count.
Remain 18,902 (43.06%) Leave 24,992 (56.94%) Leave maj 6,090 (13.87%) Electorate 63,336; Turnout 43,894 (69.30%)
Ribble Valley
Remain 15,892 (43.61%) Leave 20,550 (56.39%) Leave maj 4,658 (12.78%) Electorate 46,139; Turnout 36,442 (78.98%)
Rugby
Remain 25,350 (43.30%) Leave 33,199 (56.70%) Leave maj 7,849 (13.41%) Electorate 74,127; Turnout 58,549 (78.98%)
Hertsmere
Remain 27,593 (49.16%) Leave 28,532 (50.84%) Leave maj 939 (1.67%) Electorate 73,284; Turnout 56,125 (76.59%)
Liverpool
Remain 118,453 (58.19%) Leave 85,101 (41.81%)Remain maj 33,352 (16.38%) Electorate 317,901; Turnout 203,554 (64.03%)
Rhondda Cynon Taf
Remain 53,973 (46.30%) Leave 62,590 (53.70%) Leave maj 8,617 (7.39%) Electorate 172,877; Turnout 116,563 (67.43%)
Ceredigion
Remain 21,711 (54.63%) Leave 18,031 (45.37%) Remain maj 3,680 (9.26%) Electorate 54,464; Turnout 39,742 (72.97%)
Wyre Forest
Remain 21,240 (36.85%) Leave 36,392 (63.15%) Leave maj 15,152 (26.29%) Electorate 77,875; Turnout 57,632 (74.01%)
Malvern Hills
Remain 22,203 (46.75%) Leave 25,294 (53.25%) Leave maj 3,091 (6.51%) Electorate 60,215; Turnout 47,497 (78.88%)
North Ayrshire
Remain 38,394 (56.88%) Leave 29,110 (43.12%) Remain maj 9,284 (13.75%) Electorate 104,570; Turnout 67,504 (64.55%)
North East Lincolnshire
Remain 23,797 (30.13%) Leave 55,185 (69.87%) Leave maj 31,388 (39.74%) Electorate 116,294; Turnout 78,982 (67.92%)
Watford
Remain 23,167 (49.73%) Leave 23,419 (50.27%) Leave maj 252 (0.54%) Electorate 65,048; Turnout 46,586 (71.62%)
Updated
at 3.08am BST
2.59am BST
02:59
Henry McDonald has sent this from Belfast:
Nathan Anderson is a 26-year-old MA politics student at Queen’s University Belfast and a Democratic Unionist councillor.
Unlike a majority of his contemporaries in his age group, he is strongly in favour of Brexit.
He said: “As part of my MA I have been studying the EU and it has made me more Eurosceptical. The EU commission is wholly unelected and it makes the laws. That is why I will be delighted if its a Brexit result today.”
Updated
at 3.02am BST
2.55am BST
02:55
The Guardian’s Dan Milmo talks us through the volatility in the financial markets with the results coming in for the European Union referendum.
2.54am BST
02:54
John Mann, one of the few Labour MPs to vote for Brexit, has just told the BBC that Labour voters have “decisively voted to leave the European Union”.
2.53am BST
02:53
We’ve had 84 results in now, and remain are back on the lead - but only just.
Here are the figures. The vote ones are the ones that count.
AreasAreas
Remain: 34 Remain: 51
Leave: 50 Leave: 116
VotesVotes
Remain: 2,877,575 (50.01%) Remain: 5,846,811 (48.5%)
Leave: 2,876,697 (49.99%) Leave: 6,199,790 (51.5%)
84 #EUref results in - Experts 2,877,575 (50.01%) / Bloke in the pub 2,876,697 (49.99%) After 167 #EUref results - Heath 5,846,811 (48.5%) / Thatcher 6,199,790 (51.5%)
2.51am BST 3.41am BST
02:51 03:41
Mark Tran Steven Morris
Wandsworth has voted for remain by a thumping 75-25 majority on a 72% turnout. There were 118,463 votes for remain and 39,421 for leave. Eighteen of the 22 Welsh authorities have now declared. Only three – the Vale of Glamorgan in the south, Monmouthshire in the south-east and Ceredigion in west Wales – have voted to remain, the rest are for leave.
The borough was a remain stronghold so victory was assured. The only issue was the margin of victory. After the disappointments of Sunderland and Newcastle, Wandsworth will come as a fillip for the remain camp, although the result can only reinforce the impression of a deep divisions in the country. In places like the south Wales valleys (traditional Labour heartlands), leave is sweeping the board. Cardiff is expected to vote to stay but it’s been a miserable night in Wales for the remain campaign. Ironically, some of the places that have received the most EU funding over the years because of their economic problems have voted most strongly to leave.
Wandsworth result now in; 118,463 remain, 39,421 leave #EURefResults pic.twitter.com/AuYJ2FLTiG Remain campaigners seeing it as a protest against the establishment, against austerity rather than a positive mood. The steel crisis and fears over immigration can’t have helped.
Jane Ellison, the Conservative MP for Battersea, was delighted but expressed concern over what seemed to be a developing north-south divide. Updated
She said: “Whatever the outcome, it is obvious there are very different concerns and where we stand in the world, and we need to address that. All you can do is do your best in your own patch.” at 3.41am BST
During the count, Justine Greening, the Conservative MP for Putney and international development secretary, said the gap between remain and leave was bigger than she had anticipated. 3.33am BST
“That seems much more categorical than I expected,” she told the Guardian. It’s a combination of London being more international and the immigration debate really jarring [with] people.” 03:33
On whether the death of Labour MP Jo Cox had been a factor, Greening said: “It made people sit up and think and the vote was their first chance people had to show how they felt.” And here is Nigel Farage on the Sheffield result.
Rosena Allin­-Khan, the newly Labour MP for Tooting, also campaigned for remain in a cross-party effort. She said she found some confusion among remain voters because the government had been so “woefully divided”. Sheffield votes to Leave EU. Amazing stuff. Delighted.
Updated
at 3.33am BST
3.29am BST
03:29
This is from the academic Matthew Goodwin.
Sheffield is 51% Leave. It was predicted to go Remain on 52% #euref
And this is from the Spectator’s James Forsyth.
Am told ecstasy in Vote Leave office as Sheffield result came through, they think this really might be on
Sheffield result feels very significant, Remain are going to need mega blow outs in London to pull this out of the fire
Updated
at 3.47am BST
3.29am BST
03:29
Pound falls 6%
Jill Treanor
The pound has hit a new low for the night at $1.3879, down 6%.
Sterling is very volatile, said Jeremy Cook of World First, whose colleagues are starting to stream into the office. The mood is sober. The largest cause for the downswing in the pound is a prediction by ITV of a 75% chance of the UK leaving the EU.
3.27am BST
03:27
3.24am BST
03:24
Labour party 'working to assumption leave will win'
The Labour party is now working on the assumption that leave will win, according to a party source. The view in Labour HQ is that, if Britain does vote to leave, Jeremy Corbyn should call on David Cameron to resign, but senior figures believe that that may prove unnecessary because Cameron may announce his departure of his own accord.
Updated
at 3.26am BST
3.20am BST
03:20
The market volatility continues:
We're back down again... pic.twitter.com/TxsgkeNdL6
Leave's lead grows to 176,888 and GBPUSD resumes it's slide, back down to 1.4225 from 1.4500 half an hour ago.