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Version 72 Version 73
Brexit: What happens now? Brexit: What happens now?
(about 16 hours later)
On Saturday MPs voted to withhold support for Boris Johnson's new Brexit deal until it had been enacted into law.On Saturday MPs voted to withhold support for Boris Johnson's new Brexit deal until it had been enacted into law.
Boris Johnson then sent a letter to the EU requesting a Brexit delay until 31 January, as he was legally required to do.Boris Johnson then sent a letter to the EU requesting a Brexit delay until 31 January, as he was legally required to do.
The Speaker of the House of Commons has now ruled that the government can't hold another meaningful vote on the deal on Monday. Instead they will introduce the parliamentary bill that would turn the deal into law. The Speaker of the House of Commons ruled on Monday that the government couldn't hold another meaningful vote on the deal. Instead they have introduced the parliamentary bill that would turn the deal into law.
The Speaker's decision was that the government's proposal for another meaningful vote fell foul of the rule that MPs can't be asked to consider questions that have already been settled in the same session of Parliament.The Speaker's decision was that the government's proposal for another meaningful vote fell foul of the rule that MPs can't be asked to consider questions that have already been settled in the same session of Parliament.
The government can still introduce the Withdrawal Agreement Bill, with the first vote coming on Tuesday. But there will be opportunities for MPs to make amendments. The government has still been able to introduce the Withdrawal Agreement Bill, with the first vote coming on Tuesday. But there will be opportunities for MPs to make amendments.
It's not clear that the whole process will be completed by 31 October. The government will seek to pass a "programme motion" to limit the length of debates in the House of Commons. MPs could reject that, though, and the bill must also pass through the House of Lords.It's not clear that the whole process will be completed by 31 October. The government will seek to pass a "programme motion" to limit the length of debates in the House of Commons. MPs could reject that, though, and the bill must also pass through the House of Lords.
Extension requestExtension request
If it looks as though Parliament will not have passed the deal by 31 October, the EU will consider the UK's extension request.If it looks as though Parliament will not have passed the deal by 31 October, the EU will consider the UK's extension request.
All 27 EU nations must agree to an extension.All 27 EU nations must agree to an extension.
If the EU refuses to grant the UK a delay then Brexit will happen on 31 October at 23:00 GMT.If the EU refuses to grant the UK a delay then Brexit will happen on 31 October at 23:00 GMT.
Leaving without a deal (or withdrawal agreement) means the UK would immediately exit the customs union and single market - arrangements designed to make trade easier.Leaving without a deal (or withdrawal agreement) means the UK would immediately exit the customs union and single market - arrangements designed to make trade easier.
Early electionEarly election
An early election is widely expected after 31 October when Brexit is currently scheduled to happen. It's unclear, though, whether that would be later this year or early next year.An early election is widely expected after 31 October when Brexit is currently scheduled to happen. It's unclear, though, whether that would be later this year or early next year.
If Brexit is delayed, the House of Commons might be asked again by the government to back an early general election. That requires a 2/3 majority in the House of Commons and so far MPs have not been prepared to agree.If Brexit is delayed, the House of Commons might be asked again by the government to back an early general election. That requires a 2/3 majority in the House of Commons and so far MPs have not been prepared to agree.
An alternative route for the government would be a short new law specifying the date of an early general election - this would require only a simple majority and not need two-thirds of MPs.An alternative route for the government would be a short new law specifying the date of an early general election - this would require only a simple majority and not need two-thirds of MPs.
There is another much more dramatic way - the prime minister could call a vote of no confidence in his own government.There is another much more dramatic way - the prime minister could call a vote of no confidence in his own government.
Vote of no confidenceVote of no confidence
At any point the opposition could call a vote of no confidence in the government. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has previously said he would table such a motion.At any point the opposition could call a vote of no confidence in the government. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has previously said he would table such a motion.
If more MPs vote for the no-confidence motion than against it, there would then be a 14-day window to see if the current government - or an alternative one with a new prime minister - could win a vote of confidence.If more MPs vote for the no-confidence motion than against it, there would then be a 14-day window to see if the current government - or an alternative one with a new prime minister - could win a vote of confidence.
If no-one does then a general election would follow.If no-one does then a general election would follow.
Another referendumAnother referendum
There could also be another referendum although it would certainly require a Brexit delay and, most likely, a change of government first.There could also be another referendum although it would certainly require a Brexit delay and, most likely, a change of government first.
The referendum could have the same legal status as the one in 2016. It would be advisory, and the government would have to decide how to respond once the result was known.The referendum could have the same legal status as the one in 2016. It would be advisory, and the government would have to decide how to respond once the result was known.
An alternative would be to hold a so-called "confirmatory" referendum. That would be between a particular Brexit deal and remain - or possibly with no deal as an option. The result of this kind of referendum would be legally binding.An alternative would be to hold a so-called "confirmatory" referendum. That would be between a particular Brexit deal and remain - or possibly with no deal as an option. The result of this kind of referendum would be legally binding.
Either way, the new referendum would require legislation to be held. There would also have to be time for the Electoral Commission to consider the question wording - especially if it's a referendum with more than two options.Either way, the new referendum would require legislation to be held. There would also have to be time for the Electoral Commission to consider the question wording - especially if it's a referendum with more than two options.
Experts at the Constitution Unit at University College London say it would take a minimum of 22 weeks.Experts at the Constitution Unit at University College London say it would take a minimum of 22 weeks.
Cancel BrexitCancel Brexit
There is also the legal option of cancelling Brexit altogether by revoking Article 50.There is also the legal option of cancelling Brexit altogether by revoking Article 50.
But clearly, this is not something the current government is contemplating - so it's only really possible to imagine this outcome after a change of government.But clearly, this is not something the current government is contemplating - so it's only really possible to imagine this outcome after a change of government.
The Liberal Democrats have said that if they won a majority in the House of Commons they would revoke Article 50 and cancel Brexit.The Liberal Democrats have said that if they won a majority in the House of Commons they would revoke Article 50 and cancel Brexit.